I don't know Fred personally, but I'd bet my meager life savings that he wouldn't leave Georges, Monte, Naz, etc and what they've built up to this point. Absolute worst case scenario, I see him coaching only one more year. I also doubt he wants his last college basketball game to be the UAB loss.
This is something I think about as well, and I am sure it weighs heavy in Fred's decision...But on the flip side, Fred has openly said he prefers the NBA gm and watches more NBA bball than college, his contract has always had a low NBA buyout and super high college (We have made it very hard to leave for another college as it would crush ISU, and I don't think he would ever do it)...But you can't control when your dream NBA job becomes available...and if it is the Bulls, close to Ames, he has great relationship with their front office, it is a very talented roster, etc, you have to consider it when it is open.. as those jobs aren't put on a backburner for the candidate to take whenever he wants...
I hope the desire to finish coaching Georges, Monte, and the others, when a Final 4 run is really possible is enough to overlook a Chicago offer (let's face it, Denver may want him, but that will not get him to move on...) I do find it silly that people here say there is NO WAY he would leave, just as it's silly to say he is definitely leaving...We just don't know,, I think both are possibilities...