"realistic expectations" - no two words typically generate more discussion in cyclone sports!
I'd say MBB success comes down to 5 things:
1. Babb's health
2. LW's ability to improve/play as a PG
3. Can Jacobson make 3's?
4. Can we dramatically improve team defense?
5. Will players accept the available minutes.
The good tourney teams play great team D, have multiple athletic guards, and have a big guy that can shoot.
Not sure "Can Jacobson make threes?" Is in my top 50 things of concern for next year, let alone top 5.