it's huge because of how big the pitching advantage is for STL besides the Arrieta game and whichever game after game 1 lester starts.
MLB: ***Chicago Cubs 2015 Season***
- Thread starter ISUCubswin
- Start date
it's huge because of how big the pitching advantage is for STL besides the Arrieta game and whichever game after game 1 lester starts.
Arrieta and Lester are our only playoff caliber pitchers. They only pitch 3 games in a 5 game series. So yes, tonight is a must win. Tomorrow is a "hope to win but **** it if we don't."
I think the only game the Cardinals have a big pitching advantage is Game 2. Lynn has not pitched well the last two months, especially against the Cubs.
I didn't realize the significance at the time but last night I had baby goat kidney tacos for dinner.
So yeah curse lifted feel free to thank me with cash.
(They were great)
So yeah curse lifted feel free to thank me with cash.
(They were great)
lol, I'll take Lance Lynn over anyone that starts in that game for the Cubs, probably even over a 3 days rest Lester. It's really not close if you're looking at who he might go up against. You say he hasn't pitched well in two months? Check out Hammel's stats the last couple of months. In 11 innings against STL, he's given up 7 runs.
So again, big pitching mismatches in any game where Lester or Arrieta aren't pitching. The Cubs have the capability to win a game 10-8 and they may need to.
Lynn's given up 9 runs in 5.2 innings against the Cubs in his last two starts...LOL indeed
And also Hammel's start is not going to be him for 7+ innings, it's going to be Hammel until the first sign of trouble then Wood (0.56 ERA, 0.62 WHIP Sep-Oct) and Cahill (2.12 ERA, 0.76 WHIP Sep-Oct). And they will be facing a pitcher who hasn't made it out of the 4th inning the last two times he's faced the Cubs, if that counts as one of the two games the Cardinals have a "big pitching mismatch", I feel real good about the Cubs chances.
so you limit it to just his past two starts (presumably because the smaller sample helps your argument).
Again, look at Hammels last two months.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=hammeja01&t=p&year=2015
median average of 5 innings per start, while giving up just under 3 runs per game for an ERA of about 5.24.
Lynn last two months:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.cgi?id=lynnla01&t=p&year=2015
median innings per start of 5.5 innings, while giving up just under 2 runs per game for an ERA of about 3.75
Want more advanced stats? look them up in the links I provided. It isn't close, hell you were just arguing that the Cubs should just use a bullpen game for this matchup, and now you're trying to tell me that it isn't a big pitching mismatch?
and you think the Cardinals bullpen is chopped liver, or that they won't pull Lynn at first sign of trouble? They have this guy named Wainwright in the bullpen, maybe you've heard of him.
LOL you brought up Hammels 11 innings against the Cardinals, so I brought up Lynn's last two starts against the Cubs since you were talking about small sample sizes and Lynn's just happened to be much worse.
Speaking of advanced stats, here's the xFIP for the slated starting pitchers in this series:
1. Arrieta – 2.61 (Cubs)
2. Lester – 3.06 (Cubs)
3. Hendricks – 3.25 (Cubs)
4. Garcia – 3.36 (Cards)
5. Hammel – 3.47 (Cubs)
6. Lackey – 3.77 (Cards)
7. Wacha – 3.88 (Cards)
8. Lynn – 3.90 (Cards)
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Speaking of small sample sizes...he's thrown three whole innings innings since coming back, I hope they throw Wainwright out there.
we're not going to agree, so rather than drag this out lets just watch the games and hope that I'm not right or that it doesn't matter because Lester and Arrieta pitch so well or the offense goes bonkers.
Wednesday night my daughter's teammate brought her two new pet goats to soccer practice. (Yeah, that's right, goats.) I scratched one of them on the head before I realized what I was doing. I wasn't going to say anything here for fear that someone would go all Bartman on me.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
As it seems that no home team is going to win this year, and there is only one team left who is assured to not have home field advantage in any series, THE CUBS ARE GOING TO WIN THE WORLD SERIES!
