Survivor 48

packattack425

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I was getting tired of David so I'm fine seeing him go. Plus, his leaving increases the odds significantly that Joe and Eva could win the majority of immunities the rest of the way

I think the odds are really high that one of the two duos (Joe/Eva or Kyle/Kamilla) will be sitting together at Final 3

I'm also concerned for Joe and Eva that they haven't done enough groundwork with Star or Mitch. They could need one of them at when they get to 5
Joe bringing Mitch to the food reward was a good start.
 

dahliaclone

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that being said...none of the four of the 'underdogs' have had any of a great season edit so far. So it would be a crazy move by show editors to go from focusing so hard on the power four to the underdogs when literally Star specifically has had basically no screen time at all.
 

isufan

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I also kind of doubt that Star, Mary, and Mitch could actually vote together as a block for more than 1 vote. It's possible, but unlikely. Each one will see a different path to the end, and depends a lot on who wins immunity each time
 

cytor

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IF Mary is smart, she will realign herself with the Power 4, making it 5. Then they can pick off Star, Mitch and Kamilla. It still befuddles me why Kyle is hitching his wagon to Kamilla (other than she's also from Guyana). Kamilla brings nothing to the table. Star is clearly on vacation and is just glad to be there... helluva strategy for her.

Eva has to play the Safety without power in the next 2 weeks. She has until 7 left before it's void.
 
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isufan

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Will Kyle and Kamilla keep their alliance secret all the way through? Or will they reveal it at some point? Kyle and Joe seem to trust each other for now, so maybe he'll reveal that at some point. Kamilla will have to make a move in order to get votes at final tribal.

To me, there's 3 tiers of most likely to win to least likely.
Tier 1: Joe, Eva, Shauhin, Kyle
2: Mary (last member from worst tribe), Mitch (likeable and can take partial credit for David vote)
3: Star, Kamilla
 
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HarryClone

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David obviously had the right read on Kyle and Kamilla, but his tendency to bulldoze/not back down made him a poor messenger. He dug his own grave out there.

I'm pretty confident Star is not winning, but I hope she ends up the goat in Final Tribal because in her limited screen time I've found her pretty funny.

At some point someone has to make a move on the Eva/Joe duo, but those chances are running out. If they do that rolling ball game again at Final 4, that leaves four individual challenges left. Assuming Eva and Joe can win a couple plus the advantages she holds, it's gonna be tough to find a crack.
 

ImJustKCClone

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Eva's best bet for using her advantage is if Joe wins immunity again. She can walk away, Joe is safe, and someone else goes home. If Joe isn't protected, she puts him at risk by giving up her vote.
 
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CYdTracked

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Joe and Eva got played like a fiddle by Kyle. I would love to have been a fly on the wall watching this episode with Joe tonight as David was right all along that Kyle and Shauhin were working with Kamilla. They let the snake into the house now they need to chop the head off before it bites them. I had no problem with David, I think he had a good read on what was happening that others were not seeing. I said it last episode when Kyle was freaking out about the Kamilla vote and was insisting on Chrissy that should have been a red flag for everyone that there was something going on.

I think Eva giving up the extra vote was a mistake. The safety without power is a good advantage as it is essentially like having an idol but an extra vote can flip who goes home when numbers get tight. I would rather like to have that lurking out there knowing if you come after me or Joe your ass could be going home if you are a vote short.

I am fully in the Joe or Eva winning camp now. I don't get the infatuation with Kamilla, she has no value moving forward other than trying to get Joe and Eva out so they pretty much drew the line in the sand this week that the strong alliance is no more. If I'm Star or Mitch I would rather side with Joe and Eva than Kamilla, Kyle, and Shauhin as they just showed their cards about who you can trust. Mary is just a voting block at this point, she has no chance of winning and I would not be surprised if her or Star rides some coattails to the final 3.
 

isufan

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When given the distinct choice to vote with Joe/Eva or Kyle/Kamilla, which duo will Shauhin choose to hitch his wagon to?
 

CYdTracked

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I wonder if Eva could give the advantage to Joe if she wins immunity?
She could as long as she plays it before they vote. I have a feeling that advantage and her immunity idol will be a factor in upcoming votes. I usually say keep your advantages as a secret but they all saw her keep the idol Star gave her from unlocking the tube and Eva shared her other advantage with the strong 5 so everyone knows now. Usually hidden advantages are the best played but in this case I think they hold more power than everyone knows she has them.
 

cytor

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The problem with Eva giving one to Joe, is that opens up the door for Kyle or Shauhin getting voted out.... Assuming Mary leaves the alliance and hitches her wagon with Mitch, Star and Kamilla. If Mary wants to stay in the game longer, she would be smart to stay on the Joe/Eva train.
 

CYdTracked

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The problem with Eva giving one to Joe, is that opens up the door for Kyle or Shauhin getting voted out.... Assuming Mary leaves the alliance and hitches her wagon with Mitch, Star and Kamilla. If Mary wants to stay in the game longer, she would be smart to stay on the Joe/Eva train.

At this point I would be fine with Kyle or Shauhin getting voted out. I think the strong alliance is no more and it's Joe & Eva vs everyone at this point. Really think if Joe doesn't win the next immunity they will target him to vote out next and Eva may have to use her 2 advantages to save both of them for 1 more vote. Mitch, Star, Mary, and Kamilla just gained a lot more power with their votes with David going home now.

One of 2 things is going to happen, either Kyle and Shauhin are going to mend their alliance with Joe and Eva and pull in someone as a 5th or Kyle and Shauhin are going to use this to their advantage to turn everyone against Joe and Eva and get 1 of them out next. This is why the next immunity and vote is going to be critical because Joe and Eva both really need to be safe in some manner and make Kyle and Shauhin make a tough vote on who goes because at this point they really need numbers to flip the game. I think some people are too worried about the jury already that should not. This group mostly likes each other I think other than maybe Chrissy who is bitter but they all voted her out so it's not like certain people need to worry about her vote. Cedrek should be reasonable and I think David pretty much won't vote for Kyle, Shauhin, and Kamilla probably since he was right that they were working against him and their alliance. This cast hasn't had a ton of drama, arguments, and backstabbing like some seasons do so I don't think they are going to vote a weak player that just slides into the final 3 as their winner this season, it's going to be someone that played a fairly honest game and won challenges.
 
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