Losing on the road to Texas Tech or TCU would be a bad, bad, bad, bad loss. Losing to West Virginia at home is a bad loss. Take one of those without a bunch of good wins, and you have a resume that screams "NIT."
Since we don't have any big wins at all, losing one of those 3 games is lethal to our chances.
Regardless who the losses are to, 14-4 (24-7) is dancing. Even then they would still have 2 conference losses to give. If they lose one of these it probably means they have to win one more against the big boys but all hope is not lost.