Expanding upon this...
Those percentages mean something like...
X% = you would beat X% of D-1 teams on any given night, assuming that they give you roughly their average performance, given your performance
98% * 353 (the number of D-1 teams) = 345.94, round that up to 345
353 - 345 = Iowa would have beaten all but around the Top 8 teams in the sport
So Iowa turned in a performance worthy of a Top 10 team. Again, good for them.
We have always known their offense could be elite, and it was last night. Their defense is still suspect to me. They are almost the opposite of their football team.
Ours?
63% * 353 = 222.39 keep that down at 222
353 - 222 = 131
For context, we were #82 in the Barttovik rankings last season. Our play last night was worthy of an okay mid-major team (e.g., MVC, A-10, something like that).
Obviously, put those two together, and we see what happened.
We were not good last night and Iowa was very good. I hope this is an outlier for a team that got a little shell-shocked and cocky, not a trend.
Basically it will be CSP to put the best players in the right spot, and it's up to the players to buy into the fundamentals, ball movement, etc. that produced some good ball over the last few weeks.