Official Winter Storm Thread for 12/21 - 12/26
- Thread starter Jer
- Start date
KCCI's forecast keeps also pushing the freezing line further north. Could be all rain in Iowa on Thursday, switching to all snow on Friday.
NEW Video-Cast: Latest Storm Timeline, Totals - Video - KCCI Des Moines
NEW Video-Cast: Latest Storm Timeline, Totals - Video - KCCI Des Moines
Thanks....the NWS is still predicting 2-4" in Des Moines, but the latest from Freese-Notis has me worried at 10"+. I probably won't have to sweat things on Friday, if we are in the 2-4" range, but 10"+ would make things very, very dicey for me.
Can't really take that attitude when you are doing travel planning, but thanks.
check out this image from accuweather and the associated link:
Perhaps the Freese-Notis guys are onto something.
AccuWeather.com - Weather News Headlines - Weather News
Perhaps the Freese-Notis guys are onto something.
AccuWeather.com - Weather News Headlines - Weather News
Clearly, but I am on a very tight schedule and I'd like to know if I am going to miss the reason that I am spending a lot of money on a trip to England. So I'm very interested in the track of the storm.
Actually the accuweather forcast for Des Moines is probably the best one I've seen (for my situation). It has snow Thursday and Thursday night (around 5 inches or so) and things stopping for Friday until Friday night.
I agree on this. It's one of the few things worth anything over at the country club.:biglaugh:
Freese is adjusting the forecast based on the 12 UTC models coming in. Almost all have a pronounced eastward shift to the storm track. This would be a much snowier track for Central Iowa.
FOr example, one model moved the low from South of Des Moines to near Keokuk when you compared the latest 2 runs.
I know one run doesn't necessarily make a trend but the second model difference reinforces the first one. The 12 UTC runs have the first low coming up to around Council Bluffs on Thursday and then fizzling. While the fizzle happens, a second low develops and races up on a line that roughly mimics the Mississippi River. Very bad track for Central Iowa compared to a low right over the top of Des Moines.
The third model difference is at least one model hangs that second low over Iowa or really close to Iowa until SUNDAY !
Whether we get flooding rains, an ice storm, a snow storm, or some combination of the 3 this is going to be one EPIC Holiday storm. Just an amazing setup, an amazing storm track (thanks to Davis Strait blocking for you diehard weather geeks or mets) , and total precip estimates around 2 inches (liquid).
the afternoon updates seemed to further the trend of moving the warm air further north.
there is a freezing rain advisory for tonight and tomorrow morning, but after that it looks like a rain event for most areas south of Hwy 20.
Northwest of a Fort Dodge to Mason City line is still supposed to get the bulk of the snow. The heaviest snow seems to be forecast for a Sioux Falls to Minneapolis line.
For the rest of the state, it'll be freezing rain/drizzle or sleet tonight and tomorrow morning, then rain until Thursday night when 2-6 inches of snow are possible Christmas day.
The detailed writeups continue to stress that the models don't have a good grasp on the many factors going into this system and the models aren't agreeing, much moreso than usual.
I'm confused, i thought the new trend had things moving east so we'd get more snow\less rain?
