Debunked.Its tough to beat a good team 3 times in one season. I like our chances.
It truly is. It's lazy and not true.The it’s hard to beat a team 3 times argument is stupid
It would be nice to get a crew that calls it tight. Baylor loves to shove underneath the hoop. Vital should have had 4 fouls in the first half in Ames.
It would also be nice if our guys actually jumped for rebounds. Wigginton jumps, but he's a guard. Jacobson jumps, but he has a 20-inch vertical. The rest of them wait for it to bounce into their hands. Gotta think Prohm is focusing on rebounding in practice this week.
We've put Babb on Mason in the first two games. I'd think about moving him on to Butler, but I doubt we do. One thing we can't do is put Wigginton on Butler. I've never seen a guy lose so many shooters in a season. Prohm is going to have to actually coach in this matchup. That's scary right now.
I think it is time to start Lindell. He's been rebounding like we need from the guard spot, and his defense has been better.
We've already discussed this. You're using statistics that includes mostly games in which one team was heavily favored in the first two matchups.It truly is. It's lazy and not true.
Well, it is true if stated BEFORE the 1st matchup (statistics) but after 2-0, the team that has already won twice wins the 3rd matchup more often than not.
Truth ^^We've already discussed this. You're using statistics that includes mostly games in which one team was heavily favored in the first two matchups.
There's likely still an advantage for the team that is 2-0, but it's nothing close to the high percentage that Blum tweeted out.
Truth ^^
I never mentioned Blum or any percentages. I didn't even know Blum had discussed it.
If two teams are fairly evenly matched, it's unlikely for either to win 3 times. The win probability has to be about 80% for one team before they have a greater than 50% chance of winning all three games. Does anyone think Baylor has been 80%+ to win the first two games?
In CBB, two teams would only play a third time in a conference tournament. Teams that went 2-0 against several opponents are likely to be high seeds and higher quality teams. Teams that went 0-2 against several opponents are likely to be low seeds and lower quality teams. When a really good team plays a really bad team, which is often the case in early rounds of conference tourneys, then there is a reasonable expectation that they go 3-0/0-3.
The really good team needs to be a 90% favorite in each game to have a 73% chance of going 3-0 against another team.
No one is saying Iowa St has an advantage because they're 0-2 against Baylor, but I don't think it's 75% likely Baylor wins.
There's also these numbers
Basically back to 50/50 type game. Unless of course one thinks Iowa St is just broken at this point, then you throw out previous matchups.
I'll preface this with saying, I highly doubt it happens, but if there was EVER a time this season to play two bigs, it's gotta be Thursday. I know, it completely changes the offense, and has not been done for a single minute this year, but maybe it's time to send them out there, and just say "go play basketball." According to some, that's how Prohm coaches anyway.
I really have no clue what the deal is with Lard. If he's available, he's likely still on Prohm's short leash, so now's the time to use him in short spurts alongside Conditt and Jacobsen.
My preference would be to still start Jacobsen, and play Conditt and Lard together for a short stretch. Play them with Shayok, Wigginton, and NWB so that hopefully the offense doesn't lag while they're out there.
Depends on whether Makai Mason plays or not. Our guards struggles to stay ahead of Makai.
My guess - JUCO next year, and then finish somewhere like SFA or a Louisiana school. However, I have no info, just opinion.I think Cam is likely at the end of the rope.
It's like saying the next coin flip is going to be tails because the first two were heads.My response is to the "tough to beat a team 3 times" statement. It's not. Even at 50/50 it's a false statement. If we win it's not because we lost the previous 2 times.
All that said, there's a reason they're #5. That chode yelling on senior night might have been the catalyst this team needed to create a true brotherhood. Us vs the World is very powerful.
- Conditt, Jacobson, and Lard need to get at the glass. Don't need to be so aggressive that we are out of place. I would trade blocks for more Rebs. They are tops in the nation in ORebs, while we are not good at DRebs.
- THT and Wigginton hit their FT's
- Shayok does Shayok things
- Haliburton going off for 3 when open
Personal opinion, but I think the effectiveness of our guards (in guarding the pick and roll) has been hampered by ineffective play of their help from inside. We did that better against Tech, and earlier in the year.