Because if we beat Kstate, then tech could finish ahead of them and one tiebreaker is comparing similar opponents. Others beat tech, we did not.
2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
I think I asked this question a couple days ago and someone explained to me that what I noted was accurate. There would be a high likelihood we make it if KU and ASU win but it's not a control our own destiny situation, craziness still could happen.
You know, unlike the women I dated in college, crazy just doesn’t excite me here.
Welp: Looks like I'll be betting ASU / KU / ISU money lines in a parlay to double down on my sadness when one of those doesn't happen.
@Big_Sill This would be how we don't make it in that scenario
Well about 8 things all went wrong consecutively in the Tech game so maybe we are due for a couple things to go right. 
Correct. Specifically, it's about our tiebreaker with Colorado.
Our common opponents with Colorado are:
- Baylor (ISU/CU won)
- UCF (ISU/CU won),
- Tech (CU won, ISU lost)
- Kansas (ISU lost, CU TBD)
- Cincinnati (ISU/CU won)
- Utah (CU won, ISU TBD)
- Kansas State (CU lost, ISU TBD)
So if we win out and Colorado loses to Kansas and beats OSU, we need KSU's record to be equal to or better than Tech's record. That means we need KSU to beat Cincinnati plus Tech to lose at least once, or Tech to lose out if KSU loses to Cincinnati.
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I still throw up a little bit in my mouth thinking how I wore that ******* Nebraska sweatshirt my staff gave me when I left Lincoln. I wore it because we needed Nebraska to win to have a chance to get to the CCG game. They won and we managed to lose the game to get in anyway.
Never again.
I'd love to see the Big 12 be the first to implement dynamic scheduling. Basically keep the last week or two of the regular season somewhat fluid or open and then pair teams towards the top the league that haven't played each other. Certainly not easy and would take effort but I'd argue you'd get better ratings and a clearer picture of who the two most deserving teams are to play in the Big 12 title game.
In the current format signing up for a system that gives your best teams harder opponents is a terrible idea. We're already on the cusp of missing out on the CFP as it is, why risk more losses to contenders?
(from a CCG and game quality standpoint, I fully agree with you, but that doesn't matter in 2024)
Thanks for all the info on this. In this scenario below ISU and ASU are in, but this has Tech winning twice and being above KSU. Did I do something wrong or not understand something?
Maybe. But let's say ISU wins this weekend and they had a random game against Cinci or something. ISU could miss the Big 12 championship game with a win because of these dumb tiebreaker scenarios. If they could flex and have ISU play CU or ASU or BYU, things become a lot clearer. Plus they'd get more eyeballs I bet because those games would be de facto play-in games to make the title game.
Agree you could be playing with fire if the setup goes the other way but if the Big 12 is only going to get one in the CFP (which is certainly the way things are trending), you might as well get your best and most deserving teams in the Big 12 title game.
Not technically but we do control our own destiny if Kansas and Oklahoma State win on Saturday.
That's on me. My scenario is specifically if BYU wins out, but I didn't state that. I just edited my post to add that.
Duh. I'm kind of surprised you all didn't already know this...
Couldn't agree more. I heard Hassel and CW talking about this and I couldn't believe CW thought it was a good idea for the Big 12. Conferences should be trying to figure out the easiest path for their contenders, not actively sabotaging their efforts. It's also extremely unfair to the teams who have to play a tougher schedule to win the league. Just an insanely bad take.
