Winter Weather 1/18-1/19

ISUAgronomist

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Nov 5, 2009
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On the farm, IA
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That won't happen.
 

ZB4CY

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Dec 17, 2012
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No, I just know that unedited weather models pumped out 3 days in advance by a computer has no chance of coming to fruition.

Meanwhile we have real, local meteorologists saying this:

I'm sure its tough to put totals out, but I've literally seen 2-6, 3-4, and 2-4, by different local meteorologists.. why put out anything at all if you're not going to know until after it happens?
 

iowastatefan1929

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Oct 26, 2006
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i posted the 18z nam. not sure if it is accurate or not for this winter. there are many models and some are more accurate in one year and less accurate in another. nam is one of the more respected models.
 

wxman1

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Jul 2, 2008
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No, I just know that unedited weather models pumped out 3 days in advance by a computer has no chance of coming to fruition.

Meanwhile we have real, local meteorologists saying this:

Just for the record I couldn't hack it in meteorology so I switched out of that. Now I just use what knowledge I do have for other things. 99% of the info I post is from the NWS and reputable media outlets. My username is leftover from when I was still majoring in meteorology.
 

ISUTex

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May 25, 2012
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Have a buddy that works for the state and they had a conference about winter weather. He said they had Metinka Slater and Amber Alexander for it and Amber was in the front asking a lot of questions. Metinka just kinda of showed up sat in the back and never said anything. WHO just gained a new viewer.


Plus Amber Alexander is a lot easier to watch. :rolleyes:
 

ISUAgronomist

Well-Known Member
Nov 5, 2009
26,652
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On the farm, IA
Just for the record I couldn't hack it in meteorology so I switched out of that. Now I just use what knowledge I do have for other things. 99% of the info I post is from the NWS and reputable media outlets. My username is leftover from when I was still majoring in meteorology.

Got it. Thought you were still in the business.

Either way your info is still going to be closer to reality than a model output.
 

alarson

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Mar 15, 2006
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I'm sure its tough to put totals out, but I've literally seen 2-6, 3-4, and 2-4, by different local meteorologists.. why put out anything at all if you're not going to know until after it happens?

I mean, ultimately if you really care about it you have to view more than just their bottom line precipitation forecasts.

For instance (and this is very surface level) usually you'll have a map of forecasted totals, but if you're listening to the weather forecasters in detail they'll also discuss how different factors could cause that map to shift N\S\E\W or how a different factor could cause more or less moisture in the system, etc. They usually end up describing things pretty well once you let them discuss what theyre seeing as well as the factors that can make weather variable. But people often tune out everything but the 'how much am i gonna get' or there just isnt enough time for them to discuss in detail during their short segment during the evening news. Its still a blend of art and science, and snow in particular is tricky..
 

wxman1

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Got it. Thought you were still in the business.

Either way your info is still going to be closer to reality than a model output.

I do what I can. Reading the NWS forecast discussions is a great source of information and provides a lot of insight behind the forecast.
 
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3TrueFans

Just a Happily Married Man
Sep 10, 2009
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Just for the record I couldn't hack it in meteorology so I switched out of that. Now I just use what knowledge I do have for other things. 99% of the info I post is from the NWS and reputable media outlets. My username is leftover from when I was still majoring in meteorology.
This guy's a big fat phony!
 
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