Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

ISUAlum05

Active Member
Nov 5, 2007
632
46
28
Cedar Rapids, IA
You talking about Chelsi? Cause she's already gone. It took a few months, but KCRG finally came around to the realization that she wasn't ready for the show.As if Cedar Rapids TV news can really be called "The Show" - but whatever they are, she wasn't ready for it.

That is good news. I hadn't noticed yet.
 

FDWxMan

Well-Known Member
Jan 31, 2009
3,128
1,122
113
Des Moines
Any updates from the weather insiders?

It obviously looks like a very interesting system. As it comes on shore late Tuesday it really acts like it wants to cutoff from everything, though there is another sharp wave right behind it that looks like it will dive in and kick the storm out of the SW and into our path before it can basically completely cutoff and ruin forecasts here.

The newest Euro shows it really beginning to wrap up and then begin to occlude a bit before it really hammers Iowa as badly as some of the earlier runs. In fact, the low is filling in rather than deepening.

The latest runs--which again don't mean a whole lot at this point because they could be totally different tonight or tomorrow morning--but they seem to look similar to a storm that is a bit past it's peak in maturity or maybe not quite in that sweet spot of dynamics. Just behaving a little too much like a cutoff system.

So I'm not ready to throw it into Blizzard for the Ages, but still looks like a significant winter storm for Iowa. Will need shovels and snowblowers, especially west central Iowa.

And yes, this forecast will change, but that is how things look to me at this point.
 

ruxCYtable

Well-Known Member
Aug 29, 2007
7,371
4,373
113
Colorado
I work with a former TV meteorologist. He says they usually go with kind of a median range as opposed to the extremes so looking at that graph I feel he'd say 5-8". But a lot of time between now and then so ya never know.
 

TruClone

Well-Known Member
Mar 25, 2009
2,151
639
113
Quad Cities
It obviously looks like a very interesting system. As it comes on shore late Tuesday it really acts like it wants to cutoff from everything, though there is another sharp wave right behind it that looks like it will dive in and kick the storm out of the SW and into our path before it can basically completely cutoff and ruin forecasts here.

The newest Euro shows it really beginning to wrap up and then begin to occlude a bit before it really hammers Iowa as badly as some of the earlier runs. In fact, the low is filling in rather than deepening.

The latest runs--which again don't mean a whole lot at this point because they could be totally different tonight or tomorrow morning--but they seem to look similar to a storm that is a bit past it's peak in maturity or maybe not quite in that sweet spot of dynamics. Just behaving a little too much like a cutoff system.

So I'm not ready to throw it into Blizzard for the Ages, but still looks like a significant winter storm for Iowa. Will need shovels and snowblowers, especially west central Iowa.

And yes, this forecast will change, but that is how things look to me at this point.

How does the track look for going a southern route to Denver. Des Moines to KC, then I-70 to Denver.
 

cyinne

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 4, 2009
2,087
624
113
O-town, Iowa
0z GFS 177 hr snowfall total map-

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