Any updates from the weather insiders?
It obviously looks like a very interesting system. As it comes on shore late Tuesday it really acts like it wants to cutoff from everything, though there is another sharp wave right behind it that looks like it will dive in and kick the storm out of the SW and into our path before it can basically completely cutoff and ruin forecasts here.
The newest Euro shows it really beginning to wrap up and then begin to occlude a bit before it really hammers Iowa as badly as some of the earlier runs. In fact, the low is filling in rather than deepening.
The latest runs--which again don't mean a whole lot at this point because they could be totally different tonight or tomorrow morning--but they seem to look similar to a storm that is a bit past it's peak in maturity or maybe not quite in that sweet spot of dynamics. Just behaving a little too much like a cutoff system.
So I'm not ready to throw it into Blizzard for the Ages, but still looks like a significant winter storm for Iowa. Will need shovels and snowblowers, especially west central Iowa.
And yes, this forecast will change, but that is how things look to me at this point.