I see this Iowa November/December narrative quite a bit but I don't get it. Iowa's peak is typically mid January to late February in time to get excited for the postseason before rug gets pulled out. Iowa was 8-7 after January 1st last year
I think Iowa knows their identity right now and Iowa State does not.
If Iowa can stack some wins in January when the schedule looks more forgiving, I think they can win 11 in conference and make the tourney. If they get to the end of the season needing to win games @Michigan St, @Illinois, and @Northwestern it's going to be tough. Minnesota and Penn State twice will provide some fluff to the record.