OK, I just got done hearing Charlie Freese's morning update. His first comment was that this storm is the weirdest most complex weather system he has seen in his 35 yrs of weather forecasting.
He says the low will be at St Louis tonight and Burlington Iowa tomorrow morning. He then says the surface low then will try and rotate around the upper level low so it makes a weird loop up to NC Iowa, then western Iowa before it makes its way back to Burlington. The heavy snow will be west and north of the low.
He says that what is weird about the whole thing is while the low is in Iowa, all the models now agree that the cold air will begin looping to the south side of the low. He said there is a very good chance tomorrow that it will be colder in Des Moines then it will be in Mason City. All the weather models he is tracking agree on this. That is why the map I linked to above is now showing more snow in the southern part of the state now.
He says the most snow will fall in NW Iowa, SW Minnesota and extreme SE South Dakota where they could see totals in that 18" to 24" of snow. As far as totals in other areas, here was his guesses for different places.
Des Moines / Central Iowa 8-12" and it would surprise him if there was more.
Omaha 13"
Grand Island, NE 6" and it dimishes quickly as you head west from there.
Sioux City 16"
Sioux Falls 17"
Spencer, Spirit Lake, Fort Dodge 20"
Minneapolis 12"
Mason City 13"
Cedar Rapids 6"
Quad Cities 2-3"
Chicago 1-2"
Kansas City 7-8"
Fargo 10"
Bismark 8"
These totals are on top of what fell up until now.
We were supposed to be heading up to Northern Iowa today (Osage area and then to Britt) but we're staying home. If it was the wife and I only I would consider it but with 3 girls under the age of 10 it's just not worth the risk.
He says the low will be at St Louis tonight and Burlington Iowa tomorrow morning. He then says the surface low then will try and rotate around the upper level low so it makes a weird loop up to NC Iowa, then western Iowa before it makes its way back to Burlington. The heavy snow will be west and north of the low.
He says that what is weird about the whole thing is while the low is in Iowa, all the models now agree that the cold air will begin looping to the south side of the low. He said there is a very good chance tomorrow that it will be colder in Des Moines then it will be in Mason City. All the weather models he is tracking agree on this. That is why the map I linked to above is now showing more snow in the southern part of the state now.
He says the most snow will fall in NW Iowa, SW Minnesota and extreme SE South Dakota where they could see totals in that 18" to 24" of snow. As far as totals in other areas, here was his guesses for different places.
Des Moines / Central Iowa 8-12" and it would surprise him if there was more.
Omaha 13"
Grand Island, NE 6" and it dimishes quickly as you head west from there.
Sioux City 16"
Sioux Falls 17"
Spencer, Spirit Lake, Fort Dodge 20"
Minneapolis 12"
Mason City 13"
Cedar Rapids 6"
Quad Cities 2-3"
Chicago 1-2"
Kansas City 7-8"
Fargo 10"
Bismark 8"
These totals are on top of what fell up until now.
We were supposed to be heading up to Northern Iowa today (Osage area and then to Britt) but we're staying home. If it was the wife and I only I would consider it but with 3 girls under the age of 10 it's just not worth the risk.
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