Iowa State vs. Kansas State Predictions Thread
- Thread starter ChrisMWilliams
- Start date
This will be like the Kansas game last year. Neither defense will be able to stop anything, but both teams will run the ball and shorten the game. Head says KSU, but heart says ISU.
ISU 23
KSU 21
ISU 23
KSU 21
This is why I don't bet $$$ on the game. We win 41-24! And I believe we will. If I didn't believe it there is not a chance in the world I would go to watch the game. I had us pegged 13-0 from NIU, now I see 12-1. But that is probably why it takes to wed. or thurs. after a loss before I stop feeling like somebody killed my dog. I've been all in as a fan for 26 years so for this game, i'm all in! (man I hope we pick up some good cards on the flop)
Team Rushing Defense:
#14 Iowa
#95 Kansas State
#107 Iowa State
Team Passing Defense:
#17 Iowa
#26 Kansas State
#32 Iowa State
I predict the game goes quickly with both sides running the ball early and often.
#14 Iowa
#95 Kansas State
#107 Iowa State
Team Passing Defense:
#17 Iowa
#26 Kansas State
#32 Iowa State
I predict the game goes quickly with both sides running the ball early and often.
This is a tough one... where do you put KSU on the spectrum between NIU and Iowa?
Our offense looked crisp for about half the game (vs NIU). Other half... meh. Will Arnaud have more than about 1.5 seconds to do something with the ball (ala vs. Iowa). Will our receivers CATCH THE **** BALL??
On the other side... will ISU be able to stop the run? Very hit and miss against NIU.. although I have to say, the game would've been a bit more scary had they not been idiots and stopped trying to run the ball down our throats. Defense was completely non-existent against Iowa. (hell, the ENTIRE TEAM was non-existent against Iowa).
At this point, I still have no idea where this team is. All I see is last year's offense with a less effective defense.
28-10 KSU
Of course, I think if our offense wakes up, it could easily be
24-17 ISU
Our offense looked crisp for about half the game (vs NIU). Other half... meh. Will Arnaud have more than about 1.5 seconds to do something with the ball (ala vs. Iowa). Will our receivers CATCH THE **** BALL??
On the other side... will ISU be able to stop the run? Very hit and miss against NIU.. although I have to say, the game would've been a bit more scary had they not been idiots and stopped trying to run the ball down our throats. Defense was completely non-existent against Iowa. (hell, the ENTIRE TEAM was non-existent against Iowa).
At this point, I still have no idea where this team is. All I see is last year's offense with a less effective defense.
28-10 KSU
Of course, I think if our offense wakes up, it could easily be
24-17 ISU
I have an odd feeling the ISU holds Thomas at or under 150yds rushing. LJ, Sims and staff show up to help out the run defense and lock down on the receivers, and we are positive in the turnover column.
ISU 28 - 17.
Oh and Defense scores a touchdown. Am I drinking Koolaid or what?
ISU 28 - 17.
Oh and Defense scores a touchdown. Am I drinking Koolaid or what?
i can't see how either team scores over 29. I think we are the more talented team. So, that means I think we will be out coached a little.
Somewhere on the lines of 17-13 or 20-17. I'd be ecstatic with a win.
Somewhere on the lines of 17-13 or 20-17. I'd be ecstatic with a win.
I am going to answer this question 2 ways:
1. Back in 2003, my grad school statistics professor at Indiana helped me create a sports handicapping model that uses non-linear regression and a handful of variables to predict the score of sports contests (NCAA, NFL, NBA). I used this model for a few years, and made a decent amount in Vegas betting with it on the NCAA tournament, before abandoning it in 2006 as it takes a very long time to run every week. ANYWAY, I set up the model again this year, and while it generally takes 3-4 weeks of data to be accurate, I can get a good 'estimate' after 2 weeks. With all that said, the model favors KSU by 12 points in this game. So, answer 1 is 31-18 KSU
2. As mentioned, #1 relies on data - the more it is given the more accurate its predictions are. 2 weeks is hardly enough to start betting paychecks in vegas on the predictions. My GUT says we are going to be an angry bunch on Saturday, and will come out firing early and often. It has been a really long time since we have POUNDED a good oponent - probably Texas A&M back in 2005 was the last one. Therefore, I think we get all the breaks, and Arnaud and Co play their ***** off to a 42-17 victory!
How is that for polar opposite predictions!
1. Back in 2003, my grad school statistics professor at Indiana helped me create a sports handicapping model that uses non-linear regression and a handful of variables to predict the score of sports contests (NCAA, NFL, NBA). I used this model for a few years, and made a decent amount in Vegas betting with it on the NCAA tournament, before abandoning it in 2006 as it takes a very long time to run every week. ANYWAY, I set up the model again this year, and while it generally takes 3-4 weeks of data to be accurate, I can get a good 'estimate' after 2 weeks. With all that said, the model favors KSU by 12 points in this game. So, answer 1 is 31-18 KSU
2. As mentioned, #1 relies on data - the more it is given the more accurate its predictions are. 2 weeks is hardly enough to start betting paychecks in vegas on the predictions. My GUT says we are going to be an angry bunch on Saturday, and will come out firing early and often. It has been a really long time since we have POUNDED a good oponent - probably Texas A&M back in 2005 was the last one. Therefore, I think we get all the breaks, and Arnaud and Co play their ***** off to a 42-17 victory!
How is that for polar opposite predictions!
