2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
I want a one loss kstate at home with a perfect regular season on the line. Bring it. EMAW or whatever for the next month.
My takeaways:
We absolutely control our own destiny. We need to get healthy.
Tech should have 2 more losses before the end of the year
Kstate should be favored in every game until ours
BYU is the only team that doesn't face anyone else on the list. Away games could easily trip them up though
Cincy has the toughest remaining schedule
Colorado could win them all or lose them all. I have no idea what to expect with them.
CU vs ISU in the championship would be exciting and would be watched by a lot of college football fans outside of the Big 12. Winning that matchup would be an epic way to punch our ticket into the CFP.
Especially because ESPN and all the media homers would be drooling about getting prime into the playoffs. Then, we shatter their dreams and crush their souls.
**** Sanders. He is a douche bag of the highest order. If they lose every remaining game by 30 it wouldn't be enough for me.
TL;DR: I don't like CU or their coach.
Oh, I completely agree and share this sentiment. I want them to lose out. But, if somehow they did manage to pull off that miracle, it would also be fun to crush their dreams on national television. Five Star Culture v. Five Star Publicity.
I just do not get this at all.
The more losses for KSU and BYU the higher our chances to win the league.
This conference is a good counterargument to people who said expanding the playoff would water down the regular season.
In past years in the Big 12, once you got to about the midpoint of the season, you'd be lucky if even one game each week had any real significance on the national title chase. Now nearly 50% of the games every week will help to determine a playoff team and likely a top-4 seed.
In past years in the Big 12, once you got to about the midpoint of the season, you'd be lucky if even one game each week had any real significance on the national title chase. Now nearly 50% of the games every week will help to determine a playoff team and likely a top-4 seed.
I'll "drive by dumb". There was already a huge thread about him last year, no need to rehash all that.
BYU and KSU wins didn't exactly help things. New update:
BYU: 82.6% (43.0% 1st, 39.6% 2nd)
Iowa St.: 57.3% (34.4% 1st, 22.9% 2nd)
Kansas St.: 51.7% (21.3% 1st, 30.4% 2nd)
Colorado: 3.2% (0.5% 1st, 2.7% 2nd)
TCU: 1.8% (0.2% 1st, 1.6% 2nd)
Texas Tech: 1.4% (0.3% 1st, 1.1% 2nd)
Cincinnati: 1.0% (0.2% 1st, 0.8% 2nd)
West Virginia: 0.7% (0.0% 1st, 0.6% 2nd)
Arizona St: 0.3% (0.1% 1st, 0.2% 2nd)
Baylor: 0.1% (0.0% 1st, 0.1% 2nd)
everyone else: nope
Colorado still so low because Massey has them as underdogs in every remaining game.
All championship scenarios above 1 percent odds:
BYU/Iowa St.: 42.5%
BYU/Kansas St.: 36.8%
Iowa St./Kansas St.: 12.4%
BYU/Colorado: 1.1%
Colorado/Iowa St.: 1.0%
Colorado/Kansas St.: 1.0%
ISU record chances:
7-5: 0.2%
8-4: 3.1%
9-3: 15.0%
10-2: 33.4%
11-1: 34.6%
12-0: 13.6%
More later when I'm not running to church.
BYU: 82.6% (43.0% 1st, 39.6% 2nd)
Iowa St.: 57.3% (34.4% 1st, 22.9% 2nd)
Kansas St.: 51.7% (21.3% 1st, 30.4% 2nd)
Colorado: 3.2% (0.5% 1st, 2.7% 2nd)
TCU: 1.8% (0.2% 1st, 1.6% 2nd)
Texas Tech: 1.4% (0.3% 1st, 1.1% 2nd)
Cincinnati: 1.0% (0.2% 1st, 0.8% 2nd)
West Virginia: 0.7% (0.0% 1st, 0.6% 2nd)
Arizona St: 0.3% (0.1% 1st, 0.2% 2nd)
Baylor: 0.1% (0.0% 1st, 0.1% 2nd)
everyone else: nope
Colorado still so low because Massey has them as underdogs in every remaining game.
All championship scenarios above 1 percent odds:
BYU/Iowa St.: 42.5%
BYU/Kansas St.: 36.8%
Iowa St./Kansas St.: 12.4%
BYU/Colorado: 1.1%
Colorado/Iowa St.: 1.0%
Colorado/Kansas St.: 1.0%
ISU record chances:
7-5: 0.2%
8-4: 3.1%
9-3: 15.0%
10-2: 33.4%
11-1: 34.6%
12-0: 13.6%
More later when I'm not running to church.
I saw that on Fox sports app that they'd be underdogs in their next 3 games. Anyone else think that that's nuts?
KU really ****** us by blowing that one... I hope we really lay the hammer down in arrowhead.
I'm a pessimist by nature, but I'm feeling less and less confident in a B12 title birth as KSU and BYU continue to win and win and win.
I just feel like overall I have a hard time seeing us going undefeated in conference play, and so we really need those two to take some Ls. Running out of chances though.
I'm a pessimist by nature, but I'm feeling less and less confident in a B12 title birth as KSU and BYU continue to win and win and win.
I just feel like overall I have a hard time seeing us going undefeated in conference play, and so we really need those two to take some Ls. Running out of chances though.
