Yeah, at this point we can just figure the Big Ten and SEC get eight combined spots. The Big 12, ACC, and best G5 get three more spots. The last spot likely goes to either an ACC school, a Big 12 school, Notre Dame, or a fifth SEC school.
I say root against teams like Miami, Clemson, Notre Dame, LSU, Ole Miss, Alabama, and Texas A&M. Root against the other teams at the top of the Big 12 to improve our odds of getting to the conference title game. Root for Boise State to lose a game and fall out of contention for a bye in the playoff.
Things will evolve as the season goes on, but that’s how I see it right now.
They way I understood the byes is they went to the 4 conference champs, so BSU wouldn't even be eligible for a bye.