2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
I think it depends on if King or Billiew can guard a 5 consistently. If so, then agree Watson starts ahead of Ward. Billiew probably could, but I think he will be a terror defensively against wings and stretch 4 types. King is only 6’7 but he is rugged and physical.
It would be between three and six games -- three if all three matchups are 2-0, six of all were 2-1.
$150 million is $400,000 per college program (roughly).
Yeah, I kind of hate the idea, but $400k would be a big deal to say, UNI or someone in the OVC...
Would definitely be an interesting concept.
I wouldn't want the series for the initial rounds, but I could see the benefit for the final 4.
Youd basically shift from having final 4 weekend to having "final 4 week" and "championship week"
I see we're projected for 12-6 in the BigXII. Did we ever surpass that with Hoiberg? I think I remember a 12-6 year but can't remember if we ever did better than that during his tenure.
Edit: Decided to look it up. Never better than 12-6. Starting in 2010-11 they went 3-13 and then went 12-6, 11-7, 11-7, 12-6. Will be cool to see that level of success again if they can get there this year.
Edit: Decided to look it up. Never better than 12-6. Starting in 2010-11 they went 3-13 and then went 12-6, 11-7, 11-7, 12-6. Will be cool to see that level of success again if they can get there this year.
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I think ratings take a dive on a per game basis. Maybe it gets made up in volume. However, I think the interest in the entire tournament takes a dive. The randomness is what drives viewers, which in turn drives TV value.
When you look at ratings of regular season CBB vs. March Madness, it seems like they have pretty much optimized the value of the tournament.
You could ask the same questions about some other changes made to the postseason in recent years (e.g., the NFL going from 12 to 14 playoff teams and the MLB adding teams). The NBA also went to Bo7 series in the first round even though that was Bo5 for a very long time to speed up that round. Does the additional content draw more eyeballs or just spread them thinner and "water down" the luster of the postseason? I'm sure some nerd probably did the same analysis for the CFP moving from four teams up to 12 here soon.
I don't know the obvious answer, of course, but a lot of postseasons are expanding as of late.
Of course, ratings by round may be driven by different effects.
Chaos seems to drive the ratings of the first weekend, but as I recall as we go through the tourney it seems to tilt more towards having great games with the best teams advancing to the next round- the ratings sink when you end up with the chaos teams deep in the tournament. So at some level it may make sense to have some kind of series for advancement either starting in the F4 or E8
I could see that. I think a FF with 3 game series and leaving it one game prior to that would still be pretty awesome. Probably stretches the tourney out 2 weeks, which would be reasonable.
I think that's a good way to describe the tourney. The first 2-3 rounds is about the chaos, then it tends to settle into the big boy matchups mostly.
Not to mention, if two college teams played each three times in a week, that familiarity might breed lots of intensity.
Watson isn't going to play the 5
Yeah, that's a nice balance of "madness" and intensity in the first two weekends before the Final Four becomes more about watching the best teams in college basketball play each other with the highest of honors at stake. Not sure it would ever happen, but I'd watch the heck out of those games.
Sorry for the "normal" update being slow today. Spent most the day on airplanes --
Losing a close game to Oklahoma State was frustrating but, from the perspective of the computer rankings, essentially holding serve. The K-State game this week is going to be huge.
Losing a close game to Oklahoma State was frustrating but, from the perspective of the computer rankings, essentially holding serve. The K-State game this week is going to be huge.
This might help us cyclone fans still upset losing to Oklahoma state today temple a 19+ underdog to number one Houston at Houston beat the cougars
Teams lose in college basketball? UNACCEPTABLE.
And sometimes when you least expect it in some 'tournament' thingy at the end of the season.
It's just laughable reading some of these crazed/angry fan posts.
After the OSU lost yesterday...nothing really changed.
NET is #10
KenPom is #12
BartTorvik is #9
Those numbers are really making these cliffdwellers gnash their teeth since they don't fall in line with their line of thought.
After the OSU lost yesterday...nothing really changed.
NET is #10
KenPom is #12
BartTorvik is #9
Those numbers are really making these cliffdwellers gnash their teeth since they don't fall in line with their line of thought.
Furthermore...did you know that our #9 BartTorvik ranking as of today is the highest in the Big 12?
Updated odds from this morning. Has us as the favorites, with Texas just behind. But top 6 are starting to break away a bit from the other 4 teams. Would definitely be happy with 12-6 though in conference!
