2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
Yep (Saint Mary's & FAU, specifically).
Nearly dead-heat ISU/KSU ... hard to even tie-break w/ results of common opponents in Big 12 (KU/UT/TCU) due to home/away detail.
K-State is 5-1 in Quad 1 vs. ISU 5-3 Quad 1, maybe that could be the coin flip. (Even though ISU's NET rank 5 slots higher)
KSU................ISU
Q1a 3-1.........2-3
Q1b 2-0.........3-0
Q2a 0-1..........0-0
Q2b 1-0.........1-0
KSU has a better Q1 record but ISU has no Q2 losses.
Also note that both of ISU's Q3 games are on the cusp of becoming Q2b.
St. Johns H 78 (need 75)
Villanova N 101 (need 100)
One of KSU's Q3 is also close.
LSU N 107 (need 100)
Everyone's Tech home game is in danger of becoming a Q3 game
TTU H 72 (76+ is Q3)
ISU has played this game, KSU hasn't.
Last I checked (before the Texas game) Iowa State was leading the league (in conference games only) in both defensive rebounding percentage (.728) and offensive rebounding percentage (.367). The conference only posts raw numbers of rebounds in the stats section on the conference website. Since ISU limits shots and possessions they don't rate as high as faster paced teams. But they include the percentages with their weekly MBB release. The percentages accurately reflect how well a team is rebounding at their opponent's basket and at their own basket.
ISU was also leading the league in (conference only) 3FG% (.427) and second in 3FG% defense (.283). I don't know how the Texas game affected those stats.
EDIT: The 3FG% rankings are the same after the Texas game, (1) .417 and (2) .276.
ISU was also leading the league in (conference only) 3FG% (.427) and second in 3FG% defense (.283). I don't know how the Texas game affected those stats.
EDIT: The 3FG% rankings are the same after the Texas game, (1) .417 and (2) .276.
Last edited:
It appears that Iowa State needs 17 wins to be comfortably in (98.2% probability), so 3 more wins out of 13 games. Iowa needs 19 wins to be comfortably in (90.4%, 20 wins to get to 98.7%), so 7-8 more wins out of 13 games.
We are favored in 8 of the 13 games which playing to line puts us at 22-8 and probably a #2 seed. Iowa is favored in 6 games which would put them at 18-13 and squarely on the bubble (57.9%).
We are favored in 8 of the 13 games which playing to line puts us at 22-8 and probably a #2 seed. Iowa is favored in 6 games which would put them at 18-13 and squarely on the bubble (57.9%).
On the other hand, Houston has played a much easier schedule in the AAC. ISU at least has played a bunch of top 25 teams. I think they would do at least as much adjusting to what ISU does, if not more.
He should but won’t because ESPN will manufacture some other media obsession/coaching darling. My guess is Matt Painter.
That’s true I forgot about Painter. Although when you have the largest human in basketball the coaching doesn’t have to be that great
Could end up being Tang if things keep going as they are.
LSU managed to not win much of anything with Pistol Pete, Shaq and Ben Simmons. In some ways probbably 3 of the most statistically dominant college players. Definitely Shaq and Pete at least are probably top 5 all time in terms of jaw dropping #s.
Shaq was 28ppg and 15rpg in only 31 minutes per game as a sophomore with 63% FG shooting. Junior year #s similar just slightly lower. 5 blocks per game too. It's actually funny to read his college stats, not fair.
In addition, LSU ’90-91 had Shaq, Stanley Roberts and Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf (then Chris Jackson), who averaged 27 ppg, finished 12-6 in SEC, was only 6 seed in NCAAT and lost in first round.
Last edited:
You got your dates confused. The season with all of them was the '89-90 season. They were a 5th seed and lost in the 2nd round. Crazy with that talent. Just look at their stats:
Good catch! I knew the overlap season was sometime in that period but got my years mixed.
Shaq's sophomore season was the 11-over-6 ... his junior year I think 7 seed lost to 2 Indiana in second round.
Kind of strange to look at a team and think "a roster like that should have been competitive in the NBA, never mind college" and then realize they couldn't make the second weekend of the March tournament.
That would be more justifiable. Obviously pulling for TJ, but if KSU keeps this up it would be difficult to argue with.
COY will probably be Izzo because the B1G is such a grinder . . . .
and media have their lips on the B1G member(s)
Without looking id say yes since NET has only been around since 2018.
