Off-Topic: Southern California Fires

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1UNI2ISU

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Early insurance estimates are putting this at a $10-12B loss.

There aren't going to be any home insurers left in California.
 
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cycloner29

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Reporter on Fox news just stated that property values will go to zero and good luck getting any kind fire insurance.
 

Clonehomer

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Early insurance estimates are putting this at a $10-12B loss.

There aren't going to be any home insurers left in California.

For comparison sake, does anyone know what they bring in for revenue in a state like California? I’d assume that’s also a big number? In the end, is $10B a year’s worth of revenue, 2 years, a decade?
 
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CoachHines3

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My home insurance policy was cancelled as of December 26th. I couldn’t find a carrier writing new policies in California. For the time being I had to get a specialty policy through Lloyd’s of London.

This is despite my house being in a “minor” fire risk zone in the middle of an urban area.
i dont know anything about lloyd's of london but i do know about werewolves of london AHH-OOOOOOO
 

simply1

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I think a lot of the palisades are insured by FAIR

The FAIR Plan lists Pacific Palisades as one of the areas where it is most financially exposed, responsible for up to $5.9 billion. Last year, Victoria Roach, the FAIR Plan president, said the plan has about $200 million in surplus and $2.5 billion in reinsurance.

The state recently clarified what would happen if the FAIR Plan does not have enough money to pay out claims. Other insurance companies will have to pick up the bill — and will be allowed to pass some of the costs onto customers.
 

twincyties

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Yeah, I can see having problems getting insurance and the property values dropping a little, but going to zero? I really don’t see that happening.
Values will not go to zero, but insurence problems will have a dampening effect on values.

First reason is that the HOI costs are part of your monthly obligation. This depresses what consumers are willing/able to spend and what they are willing to qualify for in terms of a mortgage.

Second reason (that I’ve spoken to on prior pages) is that you may not be able to qualify for conventional or government financing at all. This suppresses demand which can lower values.

For example, if you’re in a condo project that Fannie, Freddie and FHA won’t accept because of insurance problems (and most other lenders follow those guidelines) you’re basically left with cash buyers or non traditional sources of financing.

It’s not a good cycle.
 
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mj4cy

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Early insurance estimates are putting this at a $10-12B loss.

There aren't going to be any home insurers left in California.

I think many have already left due to regulation of prices and how much extra fire insurance costs....just tough all the way around.
 

simply1

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I think many have already left due to regulation of prices and how much extra fire insurance costs....just tough all the way around.
Changes to allow more rate increases for providing coverage were due to come online soon, however the timing of these fires may kill any benefit.
 
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ClubCy

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Has anyone heard from @HFCS. Have not seen him post in a while and I know he lives in the area. Hope everything is okay with him
I was just thinking the same thing yesterday. IIRC, he lived in the pasadena/altadena area but closer to the Rose Bowl (hopefully).
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Yeah, I can see having problems getting insurance and the property values dropping a little, but going to zero? I really don’t see that happening.
If it’s a burnt area I could see the clean up being more than it’s worth in some spots and then if you can’t get insurance, you would not be able to get a loan. It would make it a tough sell
 

madguy30

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On the news last night the reporters were in a cloud of smoke. A lot of ground level smoke in the area.

Sure seems like the actual fire is part one. We'll get the insurance mess, future health issues, fraud, and mudslides

Could be overreacting on my part but this may be 'rebuild or redesign practically an entire one of the largest cities in the world' levels of results.
 
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