REPORT: Top 4 expansion candidates

kingcy

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I can see both sides. But is TV sets and conference networks the future? Or are we playing the game 5 years late?

Is strength of schedule improved by adding UCF and more likely to get us a seat on the playoff? Would we be better off pushing the envelope and selling online viewing subscriptions? Id buy that **** in a heartbeat.

TV sets was the issue last go around. Now it is about viewership of whatever platform the games, shows, or stories are on. That is the future, the easy money for just having a cable network are over.
 

CyInDFW

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They won't be. It would be one or the other. I do not see us heading west for BYU. Pac 12 did not even want BYU and they would have been a better fit there.

The only way they would end up in the same conference is if the Big 12 takes all four of those teams and goes to East/West divisions.
 

RustShack

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When does the ACC implode? Doesn't their GOR disolve if there isn't a new media contract soon? We just have to outlast them.
 

CyInDFW

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BYU football-only easily is by any metric. Their AD as a whole is except comes with baggage.

The Sundays thing is a total non issue if they're football only. BYU's network is a bigger issue than Sundays if we're talking football only. The last thing we need is LHN issues compounded.

The network for BYU is mostly educational and religious programming from what I hear from BYU fans. The university has said it will roll the 1 or 2 games that are shown into a conference network or network affiliation if they go to a P5 conference, so the network is really no problem. They aren't Texas

and no I'm not Mormon...just know some alumni of BYU

If BYU is invited, it would have to be football only to begin with and then decide on Olympic sports later.
 

CyInDFW

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You must be pretty young. There was a time when Colorado & Colorado State both had elite programs with some epic rivalry games. Sonny Lubick had the Rams winning 9-11 games a season. Colorado State is also building a brand new stadium.

Memphis & BYU definitely have Big 12 worthy facilities. UCONN & Cincy top out at about ~40,000 for football capacity.

lol...Memphis has a large stadium, but even while winning 10 games last year, they averaged just over 30k for home attendance numbers.

Not to mention, of all the schools that have been talked about, Memphis is the lowest ranked school academically. It's ranked 130 places behind than the lowest current Big 12 team.
 
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TheBigAwesome

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Let's assume the big 12 goes crazy adds 4 teams Uconn and say Central Florida (huge school btw), Cinnci, Colorado st

Here would be the ranking of tv markets in the big 12:

#5 Dallas
#10 Houston
#18 Denver
#19 Orlando
#30 HARTFORD & NEW HAVEN
#37 San Antonio
#49 Austin

FIFY.

The reason why Rutgers gives the Big Ten access to NYC is because they are actually physically located in the #1 NYC TV Market, UConn is not. Therefore, UConn does not give the Big 12 access to the NYC market. UConn is physically located in the #30 Hartford & New Haven market. That is a fact. That is non-negotiable.

In 2016, UConn is #30 with 0.834% of the TV sets in the US (DOWN from 0.851% in 2015).
In 2016, Cincy is #36 with 0.767% of the TV sets in the US (DOWN from 0.770% in 2015).
Combined, Cincy & UConn add 1,814,150 TV households.

In 2016, the Chicago TV market is #3 with 3.067% of the TV sets in the US (UP from 3.055% in 2015). Alone it has 3,475,220 TV households or 1,661,070 MORE TV households than Cincy & UConn COMBINED.

Stop with UConn.

The only Top 20 TV markets located in the Heartland (which I'm defining as west of the Great Lakes up to the Rockies) not covered by the Big 12 are:

  • #3 Chicago
  • #15 Minneapolis (which is unattainable because Minny isn't leaving the Big Ten)
  • #17 Denver
Here would be the ranking of TV markets in the Big 12 if it added the 2 available Top 20 markets:

#3 Chicago
#5 Dallas
#10 Houston
#17 Denver
#23 Pittsburgh
#32 San Antonio
#33 Kansas City
#39 Austin
#43 Oklahoma City

Morgantown, WV is officially located in the Pittsburgh TV market (in case anyone was wondering).
 

CyInDFW

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Get ready for all four of them. (no info here, just figured why not)

BIG XII NORTH
Cincinnati Bearcats
Colorado State Rams
Connecticut Huskies
Iowa State Cyclones
Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas State Wildcats
West Virginia Mountaineers

BIG XII SOUTH
Baylor Bears
BYU Cougars
Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma State Cowboys
TCU Horned Frogs
Texas Longhorns
Texas Tech Red Raiders


There is pretty much a zero percent chance the Big 12 puts all of their big dogs in the same division. If those teams were added it would be an East/West division conference.
 

RustShack

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There is pretty much a zero percent chance the Big 12 puts all of their big dogs in the same division. If those teams were added it would be an East/West division conference.

Isn't that what the B1G and SEC do? It also makes it appear there are other "big dogs" in the other division because they get to play easier schedules and get more wins than they would/should.
 

BeachAve

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The solution I keep coming back to is:

Take Texas out of the equation. Vote um out. Force those self-serving Prima Donna *******s to go independent so the rest of us can focus on fixing the conference.


So throw out the school with the biggest athletic budget in the country? Lmao. Has Bernie Sander's staff taken over the selection committee?

wtf is wrong with this? Replace them with a gloried UNI school like Colorado state? Who can't even average 25k/ game for FB?

be careful what you wish for... Snowflakes.... The Big 12 shouldn't be a dumping ground for old WAC conference schools
 

iowastatefan1929

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tv dma/tv markets will be a dead concept in 10 years. anyone making a decision based off that is living in the past. the new way will make iowa st look like a great team to have; how many of your fans will sign up to receive iowa state/big 12 content? thats how good you are to us.

thats why rutgers will end up being a pile of turd and iowa and iowa st may end up being the 2 best teams in the country; or at least the midwest.

dont beleive me? thats fine but i work closely in the industry; big changes are coming.
 
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iowastatefan1929

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big 10 grabbing rutgers and maryland was good short term but bad long term. the league may understand that and not care.
 

isu81

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tv dma/tv markets will be a dead concept in 10 years. anyone making a decision based off that is living in the past. the new way will make iowa st look like a great team to have; how many of your fans will sign up to receive iowa state/big 12 content? thats how good you are to us.

thats why rutgers will end up being a pile of turd and iowa and iowa st may end up being the 2 best teams in the country; or at least the midwest.

dont beleive me? thats fine but i work closely in the industry; big changes are coming.


Understand this his concept and agree on where we are headed. Iowa State fans are passionate and all, but there still are not that many of us. And we have no fans outside of our graduate base. There's little brand awareness.
 

Stormin

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So throw out the school with the biggest athletic budget in the country? Lmao. Has Bernie Sander's staff taken over the selection committee?

wtf is wrong with this? Replace them with a gloried UNI school like Colorado state? Who can't even average 25k/ game for FB?

be careful what you wish for... Snowflakes.... The Big 12 shouldn't be a dumping ground for old WAC conference schools

Agree that Colorado State is not a good choice. They may be in a big media market but nobody cares at all. Colorado State averaged around 18,000 fans in 2013. The 10 year high for attendance is 26,575 per game. They have a basketball program and a football program that is not very successful in the Mountain West Conference. A move to the Big 12 would not be good.

http://www.coloradoan.com/story/sports/2015/11/12/colorado-state-football-home-attendance/75653810/
 

Stormin

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For those pushing BYU. Understand that BYUtv includes religious programming and other shows in addition to some sports. Don't really see BYU giving that up. There are reasons why the Pac 12 did not take BYU.
 

cycloneworld

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After some of the news that surfaced today, I like Fed Ex's chances.

Giving $20 mil to sponsor a B12 title game isn't going to get Memphis into the conversation. To add an expansion team AND to stay revenue nuetral (ie. not lose money), they new school needs to bring in about $250 mil in value. FedEx's $20 mil is a complete drop in the bucket.

More people need to understand this is 100% about MONEY. It is not about fanbases, attendance, or winning programs.
 

cycloneworld

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TV sets was the issue last go around. Now it is about viewership of whatever platform the games, shows, or stories are on. That is the future, the easy money for just having a cable network are over.

That is the media narrative (cord cutting, etc.) but it is just not true. ESPN, Fox, etc. have all said live sports is their key to keeping people from cord cutting. So I'm guessing they are going to continue to spend, maybe even moreso, on live sports. Fox just gave the Big 10 $250 million for 25 football games (and 50 basketball games)! That is an insane amount of money for a portion of games.
 

jkclone

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That is the media narrative (cord cutting, etc.) but it is just not true. ESPN, Fox, etc. have all said live sports is their key to keeping people from cord cutting. So I'm guessing they are going to continue to spend, maybe even moreso, on live sports. Fox just gave the Big 10 $250 million for 25 football games (and 50 basketball games)! That is an insane amount of money for a portion of games.

They have to have money to give though. We have to look to the future and not the past. The idea of a Rutgers just isn't what is going to work anymore.


There are really three schools that make sense. They are Cincinnati, UCONN, and Memphis. Personally I like all three but then you would need a 4th and I don't know who you would take. CSU or ECU? Someone from the ACC? I think it is Cincinnati and one of Memphis or UCONN. Then plans for future expansion by taking one or two of the ACC schools when they look to leave.
 

drmwevr08

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They have to have money to give though. We have to look to the future and not the past. The idea of a Rutgers just isn't what is going to work anymore.


There are really three schools that make sense. They are Cincinnati, UCONN, and Memphis. Personally I like all three but then you would need a 4th and I don't know who you would take. CSU or ECU? Someone from the ACC? I think it is Cincinnati and one of Memphis or UCONN. Then plans for future expansion by taking one or two of the ACC schools when they look to leave.

If you are planning for the ACC to be available, you don't do a damn thing until that happens.