ISU projected game lines & % to win each game

[BaxterClone]

ISU -3 57.4%. vs ND St
ISU +8.5 25.4 % vs KS ST
ISU +14.5 13.2% @ Iowa
ISU +13.5 16.5% vs Baylor
ISU +16.5 11% @ Ok St
ISU -2.5 54.3% vs Toledo
ISU +18.5 3.8% @ Texas
ISU +17.5 6.3% vs Oklahoma
ISU -5 64.1% @ Kansas
ISU +6.5 32.3% vs Texas Tech
ISU -5.5 65.1% vs WV
ISU +16.5 11% @ TCU

3.64 wins
5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way

 

[Stewo]

Those lines really don't make any sense. Not to me anyway.

 

[FreeBorn]

ISU -3 57.4%. vs ND St
ISU +8.5 25.4 % vs KS ST
ISU +14.5 13.2% @ Iowa
ISU +13.5 16.5% vs Baylor
ISU +16.5 11% @ Ok St
ISU -2.5 54.3% vs Toledo
ISU +18.5 3.8% @ Texas
ISU +17.5 6.3% vs Oklahoma
ISU -5 64.1% @ Kansas
ISU +6.5 32.3% vs Texas Tech
ISU -5.5 65.1% vs WV
ISU +16.5 11% @ TCU

3.64 wins
5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way

depressing

 

[NorthCyd]

Where are these from?

 

[CyFan61]

ISU is an underdog of 13.5 points or more in six games..

 

[PabloDiablo]

So the spread for us against West Virginia is more than the spread for us against Toledo? hmm......

 

[algonacy]

That is a fascinating line of numbers there Baxter. Thanks.

With that said, the voters / gamblers / bookies think we have a better chance of beating Kansas and West Virginia than we do both Toledo and North Dakota State. Hmm.... I don't think I could make money in the gambling world over the long haul.

 

[CycloneErik]

Many beatdowns on there, but no listed source.

 

[FreeBorn]

ISU is an underdog of 13.5 points or more in six games..

Shouldn't be a surprise with the D they will have this year.

 

[algonacy]

5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way

The sad part of that quote is that of the 5 games that are within a TD either way, we are favored in 4 of them.

 

[KnappShack]

So you're saying I should have the fridge well stocked with cheap beer

 

[RubyClone]

A 16.5 point dog at TCU? 18.5 at Texas I get (as well at 17.5 at home to OU) But TCU?

 

[JP4CY]

ISU -3 57.4%. vs ND St
ISU +8.5 25.4 % vs KS ST COVER
ISU +14.5 13.2% @ Iowa COVER
ISU +13.5 16.5% vs Baylor Lose by almost double
ISU +16.5 11% @ Ok St
ISU -2.5 54.3% vs Toledo Easily Cover
ISU +18.5 3.8% @ Texas COVER
ISU +17.5 6.3% vs Oklahoma
ISU -5 64.1% @ Kansas
ISU +6.5 32.3% vs Texas Tech COVER
ISU -5.5 65.1% vs WV
ISU +16.5 11% @ TCU COVER

3.64 wins
5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way

 

[DurangoCy]

ISU is an underdog of 13.5 points or more in six games..

Yep, gonna be some ugly ones again this year.

 

[JHUNSY]

Shouldn't be a surprise with the D they will have this year.

Helpful insight there.

 

[Tailg8er]

So you're saying I should have the fridge well stocked with cheap beer

Well that's true regardless of time of year or greatness of sports teams.

 

[UNIGuy4Cy]

I missed the memo where Texas became world beaters over the offseason.

 

[JP4CY]

I missed the memo where Texas became world beaters from last year.

Me too and with an authoritarian in charge, that's gonna be culture shock to the players.

 

[BaxterClone]

Sorry, after I posted I realized I didn't mention where numbers came from. Lines based off power ratings from former Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews. Home field is then factored into the line. The % chance to win is based off the line for the game, this is how Vegas sets over under. Currently offshore sportsbooks have ISU @ 3.5 for over/under

 

[tzjung]

ISU -3 57.4%. vs ND St
ISU +8.5 25.4 % vs KS ST
ISU +14.5 13.2% @ Iowa
ISU +13.5 16.5% vs Baylor
ISU +16.5 11% @ Ok St
ISU -2.5 54.3% vs Toledo
ISU +18.5 3.8% @ Texas
ISU +17.5 6.3% vs Oklahoma
ISU -5 64.1% @ Kansas
ISU +6.5 32.3% vs Texas Tech
ISU -5.5 65.1% vs WV
ISU +16.5 11% @ TCU

3.64 wins
5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way

So...we have a better chance to beat Baylor than Iowa?????.:nah:

This is nuts!