ISU projected game lines & % to win each game

Discussion in 'Football' started by BaxterClone, Jul 17, 2014.

  1. BaxterClone

    BaxterClone New Member

    Jul 16, 2014
    23
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    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0
    ISU -3 57.4%. vs ND St
    ISU +8.5 25.4 % vs KS ST
    ISU +14.5 13.2% @ Iowa
    ISU +13.5 16.5% vs Baylor
    ISU +16.5 11% @ Ok St
    ISU -2.5 54.3% vs Toledo
    ISU +18.5 3.8% @ Texas
    ISU +17.5 6.3% vs Oklahoma
    ISU -5 64.1% @ Kansas
    ISU +6.5 32.3% vs Texas Tech
    ISU -5.5 65.1% vs WV
    ISU +16.5 11% @ TCU

    3.64 wins
    5 games within a TD either way, could swing either way
     
  2. Stewo

    Stewo Well-Known Member

    Oct 29, 2008
    10,189
    1,004
    113
    Male
    Commodity buyer
    Iowa
    Ratings:
    +2,950 / 175 / -0
    Those lines really don't make any sense. Not to me anyway.
     
  3. FreeBorn

    FreeBorn Member

    Jul 3, 2014
    394
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    Ratings:
    +2 / 0 / -0
    depressing
     
  4. NorthCyd

    NorthCyd Well-Known Member

    Aug 22, 2011
    5,129
    207
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    Ratings:
    +493 / 5 / -0
    Where are these from?
     
  5. CyFan61

    CyFan61 Well-Known Member

    Oct 25, 2010
    14,540
    259
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    Ratings:
    +264 / 0 / -0
    ISU is an underdog of 13.5 points or more in six games..
     
  6. PabloDiablo

    PabloDiablo Well-Known Member

    Feb 10, 2011
    2,823
    99
    48
    Physical Therapist
    Omaha, NE
    Ratings:
    +99 / 0 / -0
    So the spread for us against West Virginia is more than the spread for us against Toledo? hmm......
     
  7. algonacy

    algonacy Member

    Feb 19, 2012
    154
    5
    18
    Male
    Iowa
    Ratings:
    +9 / 0 / -0
    That is a fascinating line of numbers there Baxter. Thanks.

    With that said, the voters / gamblers / bookies think we have a better chance of beating Kansas and West Virginia than we do both Toledo and North Dakota State. Hmm.... I don't think I could make money in the gambling world over the long haul.
     
  8. CycloneErik

    CycloneErik Well-Known Member

    Jan 31, 2008
    74,851
    4,178
    113
    Grad Student
    Jamerica
    Ratings:
    +9,135 / 219 / -0
    Many beatdowns on there, but no listed source.
     
  9. FreeBorn

    FreeBorn Member

    Jul 3, 2014
    394
    2
    18
    Ratings:
    +2 / 0 / -0
    Shouldn't be a surprise with the D they will have this year.
     
  10. algonacy

    algonacy Member

    Feb 19, 2012
    154
    5
    18
    Male
    Iowa
    Ratings:
    +9 / 0 / -0
    The sad part of that quote is that of the 5 games that are within a TD either way, we are favored in 4 of them.
     
  11. KnappShack

    KnappShack Well-Known Member

    May 26, 2008
    5,938
    534
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    Parts Unknown
    Ratings:
    +1,898 / 60 / -0
    So you're saying I should have the fridge well stocked with cheap beer
     
  12. RubyClone

    RubyClone Active Member

    Mar 21, 2014
    3,111
    17
    38
    Ratings:
    +17 / 0 / -0
    A 16.5 point dog at TCU? 18.5 at Texas I get (as well at 17.5 at home to OU) But TCU?
     
  13. JP4CY

    JP4CY Well-Known Member

    Dec 19, 2008
    10,553
    676
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    Sommerset
    Ratings:
    +1,706 / 46 / -0
     
  14. DurangoCy

    DurangoCy Well-Known Member

    Jul 5, 2010
    3,822
    280
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    Male
    Durango, CO
    Ratings:
    +726 / 18 / -0
    Yep, gonna be some ugly ones again this year.
     
  15. JHUNSY

    JHUNSY Well-Known Member

    Aug 31, 2013
    3,138
    235
    63
    Des Moines, IA
    Ratings:
    +609 / 14 / -0
    Helpful insight there.
     
  16. Tailg8er

    Tailg8er Well-Known Member

    Feb 25, 2011
    5,180
    484
    83
    Male
    Accountant
    Johnston
    Ratings:
    +1,181 / 41 / -0
    Well that's true regardless of time of year or greatness of sports teams.
     
  17. UNIGuy4Cy

    UNIGuy4Cy Well-Known Member

    Nov 11, 2009
    8,553
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    63
    Accountant
    Polk City
    Ratings:
    +172 / 4 / -0
    I missed the memo where Texas became world beaters over the offseason.
     
  18. JP4CY

    JP4CY Well-Known Member

    Dec 19, 2008
    10,553
    676
    113
    Sommerset
    Ratings:
    +1,706 / 46 / -0
    Me too and with an authoritarian in charge, that's gonna be culture shock to the players.
     
  19. BaxterClone

    BaxterClone New Member

    Jul 16, 2014
    23
    0
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    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0
    Sorry, after I posted I realized I didn't mention where numbers came from. Lines based off power ratings from former Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews. Home field is then factored into the line. The % chance to win is based off the line for the game, this is how Vegas sets over under. Currently offshore sportsbooks have ISU @ 3.5 for over/under
     
  20. tzjung

    tzjung Well-Known Member

    Mar 2, 2007
    1,640
    132
    63
    Male
    Health Care Technology
    Ankeny, IA
    Ratings:
    +406 / 5 / -0
    So...we have a better chance to beat Baylor than Iowa?????.:nah:

    This is nuts!
     

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