Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

bawbie

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Something that has been overlooked in this thread:

I'm not saying meteorologists are bad at their job.

I'm saying that storms get overblown by someone (the media) on an extremely consistent basis, but due to all the meteorologists and amateur weathermen on this site, everyone got butt hurt about it. All you have to do is look around the internet and you will see that the somehow, starting somewhere, this storm was built up to epic proportions. It wasn't what the meteorologists predicted, it was how those predictions were communicated. Its like when the news anchor says "there's rain in tomorrow's forecast" when there's a 20% chance.

I find it hard to believe you need to be told this: please, don't believe everything you read on the internet.

I also find it bizarre that you are blaming meteorologists for things random people post on the internet.
 

3TrueFans

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Sep 10, 2009
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Something that has been overlooked in this thread:

I'm not saying meteorologists are bad at their job.

I'm saying that storms get overblown by someone (the media) on an extremely consistent basis, but due to all the meteorologists and amateur weathermen on this site, everyone got butt hurt about it. All you have to do is look around the internet and you will see that the somehow, starting somewhere, this storm was built up to epic proportions. It wasn't what the meteorologists predicted, it was how those predictions were communicated. Its like when the news anchor says "there's rain in tomorrow's forecast" when there's a 20% chance.
It's not as if the storm was a complete dud, I think Missouri/Kansas got a bit of snow.
 
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VTXCyRyD

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There may be an element of this as well, the meteorologists get the job done, but then the 'normal' media, when they have to report on a weather story, blow it up like they do every other story they report on.
Then why don't they look over at the anchor during the news when the anchors try to hype it and say, "You know, it's really not going to be that bad of a storm" instead of predicting at noon the day of the storm that Des Moines and central Iowa are going to get around 9"?
 

CarlHungus

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Feb 19, 2012
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How much did DM end up getting? I know it wasn't as big as expected, but the roads were still in bad shape according to the DOT website
 

Trice

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Something that has been overlooked in this thread:

I'm not saying meteorologists are bad at their job.

I'm saying that storms get overblown by someone (the media) on an extremely consistent basis, but due to all the meteorologists and amateur weathermen on this site, everyone got butt hurt about it. All you have to do is look around the internet and you will see that the somehow, starting somewhere, this storm was built up to epic proportions. It wasn't what the meteorologists predicted, it was how those predictions were communicated. Its like when the news anchor says "there's rain in tomorrow's forecast" when there's a 20% chance.

I used to be harder on meteorologists until I got on CF and started reading these pre-storm threads. But now I realize that they're damned if they do and damned if they don't, because of human nature and how the rest of us interpret things.

I'm not sure any meteorologist said seven days ago that this was definitively going to be a 20" storm. Some early models showed that and people said that COULD happen, but the consensus was that things are fluid and can/will change. But most people get fixated on that first report and are incapable of adjusting their own expectations.

To think of it in different terms, I try to imagine how people would treat an oncologist who diagnoses them with cancer and gives them a range of possible outcomes. If it turned out on the positive end of that spectrum, perhaps even a little better than what had been your best expectations, would you be ****** that your doctor had overhyped it just to scare you? Or would you be glad you had been prepared for a less positive outcome?
 

FDWxMan

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Jan 31, 2009
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6-8" of snow over most of the western half of the state. Des Moines officially received 6.0".

Upgrading SE Iowa forecast yesterday was a mistake. Forecasted timing was also poor. Dry air really screwed with that.
View attachment 18532
Not to kill the ratings at 5, but we're leaving the forecast for Des Moines at 6-8".

Haha, well, we probably will make a significant change for SW/SE Iowa though.

Based on radar trends and latest models, I would expect those 10+" to flip flop from SW to SE Iowa by the noon show.

I think a good place to start the bidding is 5-8". Place over/unders on that.

I'll bet you guys anything the majority of the state receives less than 6 inches out of this.
 
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VTXCyRyD

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Then why don't they look over at the anchor during the news when the anchors try to hype it and say, "You know, it's really not going to be that bad of a storm" instead of predicting at noon the day of the storm that Des Moines and central Iowa are going to get around 9"?
Although I heard Jeriann try do this morning that for Mondays snow that we are suppose to get. She was insisting on calling it a winter weather event and not a storm.
 

chuckd4735

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Something that has been overlooked in this thread:

I'm not saying meteorologists are bad at their job.

I'm saying that storms get overblown by someone (the media) on an extremely consistent basis, but due to all the meteorologists and amateur weathermen on this site, everyone got butt hurt about it. All you have to do is look around the internet and you will see that the somehow, starting somewhere, this storm was built up to epic proportions. It wasn't what the meteorologists predicted, it was how those predictions were communicated. Its like when the news anchor says "there's rain in tomorrow's forecast" when there's a 20% chance.

The only thing that hyped this storm up was a bunch of computer models and people discussing the returns of these models. Most of this "hype" place last Thursday when those models were showing 20 inches; but by last Friday, there were already down to a foot, and just kept going down every day after that. In the end, this storm was still pretty epic, it just was not as epic by the time it hit Iowa.

Also, you seem to be the only one who is butt-hurt...
 

cowgirl836

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Sep 3, 2009
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The only thing that hyped this storm up was a bunch of computer models and people discussing the returns of these models. Most of this "hype" place last Thursday when those models were showing 20 inches; but by last Friday, there were already down to a foot, and just kept going down every day after that. In the end, this storm was still pretty epic, it just was not as epic by the time it hit Iowa.

Also, you seem to be the only one who is butt-hurt...

hey, did you make it to the concert? How was it?

I love weather threads, if people do not like..........why do they read?
 

chuckd4735

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hey, did you make it to the concert? How was it?

I love weather threads, if people do not like..........why do they read?

Yes we did. Got to Ames before it really started snowing, and there was only about 3 inches on the ground on the drive home. Pretty easy drive.

Concert was pretty awesome. Just my opinion, but Dirks should of been the headline act with Miranda opening for him. Thought he put on a much better show!
 

bawbie

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So, how are things looking for Monday? From now on I am listening to the weather insiders in this thread.

It sounds like the models are still all over the place. Some snow sometime between Sunday evening and Tuesday noon is likely. Depending on the track of the storm it may be 2-3" or it could be quite a bit more. It sounds like the experts are favoring the models that keep most of the precip down in Missouri.
 

Trice

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SNOWPOCALYPSE 3.0!!!!!!!! or maybe not, I don't know.

One benefit of these weather threads is that regardless of how this storm turned out, knowing about the potential for another one in a few days led me to clear out extra space around the driveway just in case.
 

chuckd4735

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How's I80 west out of DSM gonna look around 6-7 tonight?

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