Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

Wesley

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Apr 12, 2006
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Omaha
Heading to Ames from CR tomorrow for the concert. We have a 4WD truck, and my husband is comfortable driving in the snow, so I'm oretty sure we can make it okay. We are just trying to decide when we should try to get going. Original plan was to leave around 5, and arrive around 6:30, but I'm thinking we'd better leave earlier. What time do you all think we would need to be in Ames to beat the worst of it? Thanks!
Go early and eat late lunch at Hickory Park.
 

aeroclone

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Oct 30, 2006
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Is the snow supposed to hit Missouri before it hits Des Moines? I am supposed to head to KC on Thursday. Wondering if I should head down this afternoon. From what I'm reading, Kansas City is supposed to get snow/sleet starting early Thursday morning.

I watched the local news in KC this morning, and it looks like they are shifting the forecast more toward snow. They are now calling for 6-10 inches in the KC area starting early enough to make the morning rush hour a mess. They are predicting heavier amounts to the north and northwest of the city. The sleet and freezing rain has been pushed south. If you have the option to drive down tonight, I would probably take it.
 

FDWxMan

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Jan 31, 2009
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Des Moines
12Z NAM has come in. Starting to be less of an outlier as it falls back to the pack. Down to 8.8" out of 0.68" of liquid according to that model.

At this point, every model is essentially now under 9" for Des Moines.

Probably looking at 6-7" for Des Moines, tops around 8" I'm thinking
 
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VTXCyRyD

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Sep 2, 2010
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12Z NAM has come in. Starting to be less of an outlier as it falls back to the pack. Down to 8.8" out of 0.68" of liquid according to that model.

At this point, every model is essentially now under 9" for Des Moines.

That can't be true, because that means you were right all along, and you're a meteorologist so you can't ever be right. This is almost as bad as a time paradox. If the world ends tomorrow it will be your fault.
 
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Wesley

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Apr 12, 2006
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Omaha
That can't be true, because that means you were right all along, and your a meteorologist so you can't ever be right. This is almost as bad as a time paradox. If the world ends tomorrow it will be your fault.
All those prayers to the weather gods must have helped.
 

Gunnerclone

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Jul 16, 2010
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DSM
Real weathermen please advise. I'm no weatherologist but I noticed a "splitting" of the main body of precip, which would seems to me that there is something steering the southern portion of the storm in a sharp easterly direction, while the northern portion seems to be staying onthe same track as the past 6-8 hours. Am I crazy for still hoping that DSM could get bypassed and pickup something in the 3" range? Or is it going to fill back in as the storm moves towards DSM?
 

chuckd4735

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Mar 29, 2006
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Lee's Summit, MO
I'm noticing Earls 120 hr GFS totals are going up, but I'm assuming those will be going up as Mondays storm is falling into the 120 hr time window?
 

Sparkplug

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Oct 9, 2008
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This has been the longest week. How about an unofficial rule no weather threads for periods longer than 72 hours.