Ignore all bowl projections. The vast majority have absolutely no idea what they're talking about. A lot of them even project teams teams from the wrong conferences to fill at-large spots.
For example, it says right on the TicketCity Bowl's website that if they're aren't any Big Ten or C-USA teams available, they will pick a MAC team. Their secondary affiliation with the Big 12 ended as a result of realignment, yet you see a bunch of these projections with ISU going to that bowl. They're clueless.