Turnovers

Clone95

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At some point you have to look at the results of this team at full strength and realize that just number of TOs doesn’t tell the whole story. Are we turning the other team over? Are the TOs leading to a lot of points for the other team? We’re winning every game by double digits including a 30 point beat down of a mid pack Big 12 team and a 17 point win against a top 25 team.
 

cycloneworld

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Just finished watching the game. This thread should have never existed.

We dominated a team that has been one or the best in college basketball since Janaury 1st with our auxiliary players having good games and some of you are complaining.

What I saw was a complete ass kicking followed by getting sloppy for about 7 minutes when the game was out-of reach.

Let me reiterate, thus wasn't Colorado or TCU, it was a very dangerous Arizona team. This is by far the best we've played since the Kansas game almost a month and half ago.

I agree with you but I think it’s okay to discuss areas of improvement, even in a very good win.

I looked at ISU turnovers in games against NCAA tournament teams this year and here is where we landed:

Auburn 9
Dayton 7
Marquette 12
Baylor 12
Tech 15
KU 13
WV 14
Arizona 18
Kansas 7
Cinci (?) 18
Houston 12
Arizona 16

So outside of a couple anomalies and especially once teams got tape on this team, we turn the ball over. It feels odd because that’s not the hallmark of TJ’s teams but this isn’t going to be fixed, in my opinion. Just have to hope that offshooting nights don’t happen with above average turnover nights or well early exit March tournaments.
 

FerShizzle

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What's the scheme that's been scouted that makes us turnover prone?
the only way ISU seems to be able to initiate offense in the half court is pick and roll at the top of the key or bad angle entry passes to a post who will back down his defender.

the scout as i see it:
-the lack of movement away from the ball allows off-ball defenders to gamble a lot. teams are gambling a lot against ISU and it is paying off for them constantly. ISU just cant sustain passing and ball movement enough to get the ball to the open man consistently.
-i think it is obvious that if your get really physical and muck up the pick and role at the top of the key you can be really disruptive to ISUs offense.
-ISU makes really lazy passes at the top of the key. if you are doing the first 2 things i mentioned, you will get a lot of live ball TOs here.
-ISU is also really bad at dribbling, so swipe at the ball constantly.
 

RagingCloner

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Probably, he needs a pull up shot, he tries to go off glass everytime.

And last year and earlier this year he got a lot of whistles on drives. For whatever reason that has dried up.
Hot take here, but if Gilbert had a Brockington type mid range game, this team would win a national championship. Gilbert would easily be the leading scorer and have 60% less turnovers, IMO
 

simply1

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I thought we had more motion and in motion passes last night.
Even with some TOs, Keshon had a nice paint float pass to Chat for a dunk.
I hope our staff really really reviews that play.
I felt good about KG on that play, and didn’t see much of that action again I felt. Seems like it should be there given the spacing our shooting opens up.
 
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besserheimerphat

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Keyshon (91) and Jefferson (63) have accounted for nearly half of the team's turnovers on the year (345). They've been especially bad at valuing the ball the last 6 weeks or so. During the non-con they were probably just better than the competition. In conference, the extra length and quickness and strength is making it hard for them.

This is why some of us were not enthused by Keyshon's play early in the year even though he was converting those wild drives into points. We anticipated that against better teams those would become TOs more often. It has been worse with the recent string of injuries to our 3pt threats, allowing defenses to collapse harder. Last night was the first night in like 6 weeks we've had the whole team available and we generally looked like a Final Four team again. It also helped that Heise is stepping up and hitting some shots. It will be big for us if that can continue.

Lipsey has 50 TO on the year, but has a 1.7 ast/to compared to Keyshon's 1.3.
 

besserheimerphat

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Comparing this team to earlier TJ teams is tough because we play a different style now. Less consistently aggressive defense, more up tempo offense. That up tempo offense is going to lead to creating/taking some chances that will lead to more turnovers.

And I don't think it's "scheme" as much as it is scouting players weaknesses and tendencies. We're seeing defenders play a lot tighter and more physical. Early in the year they were trying to stay in front, but now they know we're loose with our dribble and are pressuring more and further from the basket.
 

hoosman

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They were often a result of players not being ready for it or him trying a 3/4 court pass under the basket to catch the defense off guard.

It happened but they were less of the run out causing type.
In the infamous MSU game, there were 4 or more deep pass turnovers. Very frustrating!
 

Frak

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Maybe Gilbert just isn’t as good as we all think, he has moments he looks great but he’s mostly just a turnover machine

He’s not attacking like he used to. And when he does, it’s usually a turnover instead of a made shot. I think that both him and Curtis just need to get healthy.
 

jbhtexas

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I don't buy that. We were fine the first 9-10 games in the Big 12 and against good teams in the non-conference.
ISU had single-digit turnovers in 7 out of 11 non-conference games. ISU has had single-digit turnovers in 4 out of 18 conference games, two of those being against Colorado and UCF, two of the worst teams in the conference.

The turnover numbers from ISU's first ten conference games were 9,12,8,14,13,14,10,12,17,18. Things were definitely not "fine" in the first 10 conference games.

ISU was getting away with things early in the season because they athletically over-matched their opponents. That ended when conference play started, and the athleticism of the competition improved, but the players/coaches haven't adjusted. In addition, the opposing coaches now have ample scouting video to take advantage of ISU's affinity to make bad turnovers.
 
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bawbie

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ISU had single-digit turnovers in 7 out of 11 non-conference games. ISU has had single-digit turnovers in 4 out of 18 conference games, two of those being against Colorado and UCF, two of the worst teams in the conference.

The turnover numbers from ISU's first ten conference games were 9,12,8,14,13,14,10,12,17,18. Things were definitely not "fine" in the first 10 conference games.

ISU was getting away with things early in the season because they athletically over-matched their opponents. That ended when conference play started, and the athleticism of the competition improved, but the players/coaches haven't adjusted. In addition, the opposing coaches now have ample scouting video to take advantage of ISU's affinity to make bad turnovers.
If you look at turnover rate (a per possession metric), it's undeniable that there was a major turning point in the season around the WVU game.

this is from torvik:

1740947482981.png

prior to WVU, we had no games with 20%+ turnover rate. Starting with that game, 8 of 13 have had 20%+

Coincidentally, that game started the injuries with Tamin getting hurt, and we basically haven't been fully healthy since.
 

CycloneJoe6

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Hot take here, but if Gilbert had a Brockington type mid range game, this team would win a national championship. Gilbert would easily be the leading scorer and have 60% less turnovers, IMO
Agree on that. For some reason he prefers highly contested shots at the rim over wide open mid range/floaters
 

cytor

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Do we all get a cut of TJs 4 million by helping analyze this issue in this thread?
Asking for a friend. :jimlad:
 
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cycloneML

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Gilbert is concerning. I gotta believe TJ is feverishly trying to figure it out.
 

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