So who will be in the Big 12 next year?

Discussion in 'Big XII Conference' started by CyFan61, Oct 21, 2011.


Who will be in the Big 12 next year? Choose all that you think will be.

  1. Missouri

  2. Louisville

  3. West Virginia

  4. BYU

  5. Cincinnati

  6. Air Force

  7. Another Texas school (SMU, Houston)

  8. None of the above

  9. Other

Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. CyFan61

    CyFan61 Well-Known Member

    Oct 25, 2010
    Let's say Texas, Tech, TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma, Okie State, Kansas, K-State, and Iowa State are givens. That's 9.

    Who of the poll options will be in the Big 12 next academic year?

    Don't select who you want it to be, select who you think it will be, and explain why.
  2. ISU_Alum_2000

    ISU_Alum_2000 All-Star

    Oct 21, 2006
    Aliso Viejo, CA
    The answer to "next year" is a lot different than the answer to "in three years".
  3. Clone96

    Clone96 Well-Known Member

    Nov 14, 2006
    Parts Unknown
    Remember, it's a 27 month wait for any school in the Big East, unless they pay the $10 million exit fee.
  4. Wesley

    Wesley Well-Known Member

    Apr 12, 2006
    Envr Engr/Program Manager
    #4 Wesley, Oct 21, 2011
    Last edited: Oct 21, 2011
    $10M exit fee can be paid with the aTm money. Plus it is still reaqlly only $5M until the next entry by a BE new member. Will the BE be able to add anyone or will they look like the UFL.
  5. alarson

    alarson Well-Known Member

    Mar 15, 2006
    Advertising sales
    If we invite say... WVU, Louisville, and Cincy to the conference, with all but 3 big east schools leaving i bet they find a way to get out of there. Talk hasnt completely died of the ACC going to 16 yet, so that could take care of another big east school or two as well.
  6. longtimeclone

    longtimeclone Well-Known Member

    Dec 8, 2009
    Up north
    I am a little surprised that more people believe WV will be in over Missouri. Assuming they stay I think the Big 12 goes after either Louisville or BYU. I think WV is somewhat of a long shot.
  7. Mizzoulander

    Mizzoulander Member

    Sep 28, 2011
    Undercover Agronomist
    Good made me think. I don't think Missouri sticks around for a lame duck 2012. So they've GOT to add somebody, right?

    BYU is too hard to accomodate. WVU is a long ways from anybody.

    I think L-ville only for next year. The buyout isn't THAT steep, and maybe the Big 12 helps out in exchange for lower revenue payouts for a period of time (kind of like a loan).
  8. drednot57

    drednot57 Well-Known Member

    Apr 26, 2010
    Working at Hach Co.
    Nevada, IA
    First, I don't think BYU will end up in the Big12 as there too many issues revolving around their TV contract with ESPN and being independent (read: ESPN contract). If the Big12 and BYU do resolve their differences, then they're an automatic invite. The current situation doesn't bode well for an invite to the conference.

    Louisville, geographically, is a good choice. Their FB program is decent and can improve with access to TX recruiting and Big 12 TV money, plus add a major TV market to the conference.

    West Virginia adds both strong FB and MBB traditions; their following is primarily eastern (PA, WV, OH, MD, VA) which can add to the conference's TV footprint. Major athletic programs well supported.

    My 'Other' is Tulane. Chuck Neinas mentioned them as an expansion candidate. Good academics (AAU member), mediocre FB and occasionally decent MBB. Located in another major TV market in the south in a state rich in FB and MBB recruits. Lots of potential to rise with Big 12 TV money.

    There is my three minus BYU. If the situation with BYU improves, then sub BYU for WVU.
  9. Die4Cy

    Die4Cy Well-Known Member

    Jan 2, 2010
    According to analysis by the NY times' Nate Silver, West Virginia has a larger fan base than BYU, one that would actually be third largest in the league once Mizzou and AtM depart. Morgantown is actually geographically closer to most Big 12 schools, too.

    I think we will ultimately go to 12 teams. Pollard said TEAMS when talking pre-game about the plan that had been laid out for replacing Missouri. TEAMS.
  10. Die4Cy

    Die4Cy Well-Known Member

    Jan 2, 2010
    #10 Die4Cy, Oct 23, 2011
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2011
    Neinas did mention Tulane.

    In the same commentary he said that the Big 12 had been petitioned by lots of schools about admission. I think the Tulane comment was a trial balloon to see what the reaction might be to adding a smaller school with some demographic advantages but is lacking in other areas, just to see what the response might be.

    The Tulane remark was actually about TCU, not Tulane. (Maybe Cincinatti too.) If the Big 12 was seriously negotiating with Tulane, you can be assured the commissioner wouldn't be talking about it to reporters prior to it happening.

    My opinion.
  11. Die4Cy

    Die4Cy Well-Known Member

    Jan 2, 2010
    #11 Die4Cy, Oct 23, 2011
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2011
    I think you are completely wrong about this. Completely.

    SEC had already drafted schedules for a 13 team league at the end of the summer. It's getting awful late. I think the reason the aTm announcement came when it did was because it was approaching the end of the feasible window for 2012, and that was months ago. The Big 12 isn't likely to be able to move anyone in Missouri's place on short notice--there aren't any more TCU's out there. And Missouri has a need to mitigate the financial impact leaving with only a couple months notice would cost them. Precedent of CU and NU tell us what we can expect.

    Missourah playing one more year is the path of least resistance and that makes it the scenario most likely to occur.

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