CFB is not the NFL, everyone that keeps repeating this comparison just doesn’t have a clue
Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
- Thread starter ISUcyclones11
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I don't see how a Super League maximizes $ for top half of schools in a 72ish team League.
A 72 team league means a weekly TV inventory of 30+ games depending on bye week(s). Even with 4-5 media partners, I struggle to see where media partners need or want to pay top $ for that much inventory.
IMO a Super League would max out at 40-54 teams. How big depends on how greedy the blue bloods are AND if teams 40+ are willing to unequal revenue share.
A Super League would probably pay based off of ratings.
This would give the ACTUAL big dogs the bulk of the money. Texas and Ohio State are no longer making the same as Mississippi State and Purdue. It wouldn't change much for schools like us, but would effectively enrichen the power brokers in the SEC and Big 10 and put the lower tier in the same boat as the Big 12 and ACC.
If this is done right, it will appeal to the blue bloods because they no longer have to share equally with the remoras of their conference.
I agree, but still not convinced a Super League's media partners would want to invest in 30+ games each week. Just look at current CFB TV ratings- they fall off pretty quickly after 12-15 games.
I mean looking at the change in the last ten years, I’m not sure why you expect CF to trust the process.
Probably won’t happen, but ideally the 72 team league would just equally distribute the money. Obviously that’s why the B1G and SEC would oppose it. Might take some type of legal intervention to make it happen and be what the NCAA should have been all along. Regional conferences with everyone making the same or at the very leave similar money from the media deal. Networks owning individual conferences is wild. Conferences don’t make sense anymore.
Sure, they would have 4-5 media partners. But the media folks are willing to pay top dollar for the 10-15 games that draw 1M+ fans. Not sure the media folks value game inventory 16-30 that achieves 250k-500k viewers.
The question is, who are the 72? Just going by current alignment:
ACC: 17
Big 12: 16
B1G: 18
SEC: 16
Ind.: ND
That gives us 68. Who are the other 4? Wazzou and Oregon St? Boise, UNLV, Memphis, Tulane, USF, UCONN? Any of the Academies? How do you draw that line for the 72 in the top and the (currently) 62 on the bottom?
ACC: 17
Big 12: 16
B1G: 18
SEC: 16
Ind.: ND
That gives us 68. Who are the other 4? Wazzou and Oregon St? Boise, UNLV, Memphis, Tulane, USF, UCONN? Any of the Academies? How do you draw that line for the 72 in the top and the (currently) 62 on the bottom?
Very notable that Danny White, the Tennessee AD, is listed as a CST ambassador.
Athletic previously reported that the B10 and SEC wouldn't talk to the CST due to being ESPN and Fox puppets and not pissing them off.
70 was the previous number including all existing schools in the SEC, ACC, B12, B10 plus Oregon St and Washington St and ND.
Not sure who the extra two are now. I would think UConn is definitely one of them.
In reality they dont have to get any conference on board. They need to get ESPN/Fox on board. If the media companies dont offer the conferences money, in turn only offer this league, it forces their hands.
Now I agree there is a very slim chance this happens in the near future, and I believe a lot of things would change in the proposal to ever get off the ground.
But as I have said the people paying the money are who holds the cards. If the media people want to move towards a super league or NFL model league, then the conferences really have no choice. The Powerful SEC/B1G would end up the same way if the media companies refuse their wanted $ as the Pac did. If ESPN etc said you get $200M per to join this league, or $100M per to stay in your conference, it is over for the conferences.
In a few years when USC, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, LSU, Alabama, Auburn, Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, Clemson, FSU, Miami all leave to be a 20 team league, it will be just fine. Nothing will change for Iowa State.
That's fine, my point remains. A lot of state schools in the Midwest that think they're "in" will find out they're not in. I know we're not in though, and that's fine.
Then no one will watch and the league will implode, a super league of that size has no actual viability. For the millionth time this isn’t the NFL
We'll all be in it together. It will be absolute chaos with the rest of also rans. That 20 team league can only produce 10 games, obviously, per week and that's with no byes. The networks need more than 9 to 10 games per week. We need to find a way to stay at the top of that secondary heap and we will be good to go.
99% of problems would be solved if we separated football from everything else and went to regional all sports leagues that made sense but that makes too much sense and no one would ever go for it.
