*** Official #23 BYU vs #10 IOWA STATE Game(Day) Thread ***

Raiders70

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We literally just boat raced a really good Arizona team at home less than a week ago. To say we can't beat those teams at Hilton is a huge assumption.
If we can't beat BYU and K state at home what makes you think its likely we beat Houston and Tech? . It wouldn't be shocking but the odds of winning those games would be much lower than CU and UCF.
 

awd4cy

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What TJ and ISU has done is every bit as good as these 2 examples. Especially considering it's been done in a much tougher conference.


There is no comparison between this team and what went on at the end of that season!
How not? The 2014-15 season wasn’t as off the rails as you think maybe. A lot of similarities to this point. Second half of February saw loss to a bad ksu team on road, loss to good Baylor at home, miracle comeback win against good OU team on senior day. Sounds very similar so far.
 
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dahliaclone

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I think you make a lot of valid points.

The bold part though is where, in my opinion, our fans are a bit overly misguided or optimistic.

IMHO, we are not a difficult scout. Teams like Miami, Pitt, Illinois - they pressure our guards, packed the lane, and that was that. Sure, if we shoot well, we can beat anyone. But I’m not seeing a ton of evidence lately that we can consistently get open looks. Arizona was the exception, and even then we of course had a terrible stretch in the second half where we went from up 24 to only up 9.

I think we do play “tough defense” for stretches. I don’t think this team plays tough defense for long enough stretches.

7-7 in our last 14 games. And even if it is because of injuries, the reality is - the losses have taken their toll.
Don’t disagree with you really. But if just 2/3 of these losses swing the other way and literally no one is ********. Last night. At Arizona. Simple effort at OSU. Two or three (or actually just one) plays go our way and we are sitting at 25-5 and a lock for a 2 seed more than likely. But it’s the same team and same plays with just crucial plays not going our way and we got the L instead of the W. My point is that while we are struggling this is a team literally a handful of plays in a position everyone is still over the moon.
 

cyclones500

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Don't rack up another Q2 loss on Saturday and I'd say we're a 3 seed.

Conf Tourney doesn't do much for seeding purposes.
Reasonable assessment.

Conference tournament first game could matter, likely risk a Q2 loss there, too. Advance at least past that, and nothing is going to hurt ... I guess if the 8v9 team reaches semifinal, that's another Q2, but by that point the bulk of bracket is going to be set and it's afterthought.
 
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madguy30

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How not? The 2014-15 season wasn’t as off the rails as you think maybe. A lot of similarities to this point. Second half of February saw loss to a bad ksu team on road, loss to good Baylor at home, miracle comeback win against good OU team on senior day. Sounds very similar so far.

The 14/15 team reportedly had a toxic culture including guys opting out of practice and needing to be babysat and one apparently threw a chair at half time of the tourney game.

I don't believe assigning babysitters is a part of TJ's program.

There are similar 'this is a wake up call' vibes after weird losses, maybe not having a sole leader, but the similarities end there imo.
 

FinalFourCy

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How not? The 2014-15 season wasn’t as off the rails as you think maybe. A lot of similarities to this point. Second half of February saw loss to a bad ksu team on road, loss to good Baylor at home, miracle comeback win against good OU team on senior day. Sounds very similar so far.

It’s similar

Except, having recently watched games from that era, those teams had notably more “talent”

I think this team is playing closer to its upside more often
 
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awd4cy

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The 14/15 team reportedly had a toxic culture including guys opting out of practice and needing to be babysat and one apparently threw a chair at half time of the tourney game.

I don't believe assigning babysitters is a part of TJ's program.

There are similar 'this is a wake up call' vibes after weird losses, maybe not having a sole leader, but the similarities end there imo.
Well, the games are similar as well as the huge inconsistencies.
 

awd4cy

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It’s similar

Except, having recently watched games from that era, those teams had notably more “talent”

I think this team is playing closer to its upside more often
If that team had more talent, why weren’t they preseason top 5? Barely even top 20.
 

Cloned4Life

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Don’t disagree with you really. But if just 2/3 of these losses swing the other way and literally no one is ********. Last night. At Arizona. Simple effort at OSU. Two or three (or actually just one) plays go our way and we are sitting at 25-5 and a lock for a 2 seed more than likely. But it’s the same team and same plays with just crucial plays not going our way and we got the L instead of the W. My point is that while we are struggling this is a team literally a handful of plays in a position everyone is still over the moon.
But you’re discounting the handful of plays that we DID make. Like @ Iowa. And @ Tech. And @ ASU. And down the stretch against Dayton early.

Hell, what is CuJo wasn’t red hot against Kansas at home?

This team has made a ton of awesome/amazing/clutch plays in our 22 wins. What is those didn’t go our way?

I think this might just be who we are. A 22-8 team.
 

Cyclonepride

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I believe so yes.. Game is much more physical.
Last year only 22 fouls per game on average were called. I suspect numbers are not much higher this year

I mean BYU did not run what looked like offense for last 10 to 12 minutes of the 2nd half lots of 1 on 1.

Mighty Auburn had a long droughts last night.

Scoring in college is similar to the NBA, it's a lot of 3's. That is a like a 35% success rate. You might hit 2 or 3 in a row, but eventually the numbers go back to the mean. Which means scoring droughts. Or you miss some early then hit a few mean moves the other way


ISU's problem was loving the 3 ball for extended periods, not driving or feeding the post.
This is a stat in the TJ era that I tend to watch a lot. We're usually in trouble when we put up too many threes. Seems like we're at our best when it's under 20.
 
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dahliaclone

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But you’re discounting the handful of plays that we DID make. Like @ Iowa. And @ Tech. And @ ASU. And down the stretch against Dayton early.

Hell, what is CuJo wasn’t red hot against Kansas at home?

This team has made a ton of awesome/amazing/clutch plays in our 22 wins. What is those didn’t go our way?

I think this might just be who we are. A 22-8 team.
We're saying the same thing lol. We are who we are. I just choose to still think with the injuries and illnesses those plays DO go in our favor I guess.
 

Cloned4Life

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If that team had more talent, why weren’t they preseason top 5? Barely even top 20.
Because Freddy’s program didn’t value defense at an elite level. The CBB world has seen Iowa State play elite level defense now for 3+ years. True title contenders must be able to play high level defense, and Freddy’s just didn’t. And even with that, Prohm’s first team was Preseason top 5, with several NBA players. Very obviously more talented than this years’ team.
 
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Cloned4Life

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We're saying the same thing lol. We are who we are. I just choose to still think with the injuries and illnesses those plays DO go in our favor I guess.
That’s fair. I don’t personally believe we are going to get any “heathier” this year. And it’s pretty clear that our kryptonite = literally any injury or illness of any kind.
 

rochclone

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But you’re discounting the handful of plays that we DID make. Like @ Iowa. And @ Tech. And @ ASU. And down the stretch against Dayton early.

Hell, what is CuJo wasn’t red hot against Kansas at home?

This team has made a ton of awesome/amazing/clutch plays in our 22 wins. What is those didn’t go our way?

I think this might just be who we are. A 22-8 team.
And 22-8 isn’t bad. People have to chill with this rollercoaster of emotions. It will end up effecting our ability to keep TJ and the ability to retain parts of this roster. If we finish with 26 wins it would the 4th highest win total in Iowa State history. Let’s get a win on Saturday, get a couple in KC and just see what happens in March.
 
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awd4cy

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Because Freddy’s program didn’t value defense at an elite level. The CBB world has seen Iowa State play elite level defense now for 3+ years. True title contenders must be able to play high level defense, and Freddy’s just didn’t. And even with that, Prohm’s first team was Preseason top 5, with several NBA players. Very obviously more talented than this years’ team.
So I guess the 2014-15 team overachieved and this years team is underachieving based on preseason expectations. Funny how to some this season is such a massive success and these same people think 2014-15 was a total failure.
 

Koala

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If that team had more talent, why weren’t they preseason top 5? Barely even top 20.
Season to season poll inertia. Ended last year very highly ranked, returned the most important guards, and we assumed we'd upgraded the frontcourt, so that's a recipe for a massively hyped preseason ranking.

Fred's teams were pretty much always ranked in the teens, and 14/15 lost a fair amount of production in Deandre Kane and a Big XII Player of the Year in Ejim. Based on our rankings at the end of 13/14 and how the tournament played out, top 20 preseason was to be expected.
 

awd4cy

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Season to season poll inertia. Ended last year very highly ranked, returned the most important guards, and we assumed we'd upgraded the frontcourt, so that's a recipe for a massively hyped preseason ranking.

Fred's teams were pretty much always ranked in the teens, and 14/15 lost a fair amount of production in Deandre Kane and a Big XII Player of the Year in Ejim. Based on our rankings at the end of 13/14 and how the tournament played out, top 20 preseason was to be expected.
Good point. As far as final ranking though, 2013-14 finished 11, and 2023-24 was 8, so almost the same.
 

Cloned4Life

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And 22-8 isn’t bad. People have to chill with this rollercoaster of emotions. It will end up effecting our ability to keep TJ and the ability to retain parts of this roster. If we finish with 26 wins it would the 4th highest win total in Iowa State history. Let’s get a win on Saturday, get a couple in KC and just see what happens in March.
Nope 22-8 isn’t bad. I don’t think anyone here disagrees with you.

Is 22-8 underperforming after starting 17-2 and being ranked in the Top 5 with all the metrics pointing to the team proving to be a Top 5 team? Yeah, I think so. I think it’s “OK” for fans to think this and be frustrated.
 

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