***Official 2025 Weather Thread***
- Thread starter wxman1
- Start date
He and I are having a minor spat and I expect this post to get dumbed, too.
I received that as well...my community is served by Alliant for both gas and electric!
I just want to say I’m thankful for all you nerds out there breaking this down for a bunch of slobs
He's really pissy in the Kelsey Jones thread you would have thought it was Ricecakes in the cave.
More high resolution convection-allowing models are starting to get in range for our severe weather outbreak event on Monday, but they're all actually still quite shy on convecting storms in central Iowa or really anywhere in Iowa (here are some possible radar scenarios at 7-8PM on Monday). Models do struggle at convecting at this range though so we'll have to see if this persists.
The synoptic features of this system are still quite potent, a 50 knot jet ejection (40 knots+ is enough for a significant tornado outbreak) slamming right through Minnesota with a massive warm sector with dews almost at 70 degrees in Iowa (almost tropical levels of humidity) and modest but not insignificant 130-150 m2/s2 helicity.
I do think that the main risk area will be north and east of central Iowa. If we do see a day 1 high risk for violent tornadoes, it will likely be in the triangle between Rochester, MN; Waterloo, IA; and Wisconsin Dells, WI. If the models do hold up like this, the event may be more concerning for Minnesota than Iowa- the storm line that blows up in western Minnesota and heads for the Twin Cities is rotating quite a lot on a number of models so may need to watch that area too.
The synoptic features of this system are still quite potent, a 50 knot jet ejection (40 knots+ is enough for a significant tornado outbreak) slamming right through Minnesota with a massive warm sector with dews almost at 70 degrees in Iowa (almost tropical levels of humidity) and modest but not insignificant 130-150 m2/s2 helicity.
I do think that the main risk area will be north and east of central Iowa. If we do see a day 1 high risk for violent tornadoes, it will likely be in the triangle between Rochester, MN; Waterloo, IA; and Wisconsin Dells, WI. If the models do hold up like this, the event may be more concerning for Minnesota than Iowa- the storm line that blows up in western Minnesota and heads for the Twin Cities is rotating quite a lot on a number of models so may need to watch that area too.
Yeah that was bizarre.He's really pissy in the Kelsey Jones thread you would have thought it was Ricecakes in the cave.
Now Three4Cy is going on a rampage in the Kelsey Joens thread.He's really pissy in the Kelsey Jones thread you would have thought it was Ricecakes in the cave.
