You are right in that it is hard to predict things like injuries, suspensions, the guy in front of you failing etc. It happens a lot though, and historically it happens a ton at ISU. Before Brock, the QB position was basically musical chairs dating back to Arnaud over 12 years ago now. These young guys have no concept of ISU's history, and no patience.Bouman and Dekkers were in the same recruiting class (2020) Once Dekkers won the job last year, the writing was on the wall for Bouman to move on. Lets say none of the gambling stuff happens. Bouman would have essentially been a second string quarterback for the rest of his college career, assuming Dekkers doesn't suck in his second year. At the time, Bouman transferring was the best for him if he wanted to play.
Hard to predict that the person in front of you is going to get suspended.
I'd have to look at the timeline, but Jared Barnett is a good example of a guy that didn't transfer out until it became clear the Sam Richardson, who was a couple years younger, was the future of the program, and at the time a somewhat highly touted by ISU standards Grant Rohach waiting in the wings. Bouman's situation was different. He was next man in if/when Hunter started to struggle, which he did plenty last season. We just didn't have anyone else on the roster anywhere close to being better suited for the job.