credit to Baylor for scheduling tough in the non-con given they knew what was coming down the pike in big 12 play
B12 Unbalanced Schedules (from the Williams & Blum conversation)
- Thread starter cymonw1980
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I'm not betting against Bill Self but their core four staying injury free is especially important. Harris, McCullar, Adams, and Dickinson all are playing 31+ minutes per game right now. I'm sure Bill would like a do over if he was being blunt with you about some of his portal adds last spring.
Yes. KU's most athletic player, probably the best at beating someone on the dribble and getting to the basket ended up a rapist and off the team. That was a huge loss. Plus Timberlake was brought in as a 3 point specialist and he can't make a shot. Furphy, Jackson & McDowell are 3 freshman that are improving. They will have to keep getting better for KU to make a run. Right now I would have Houston as the best team. Those guys are men.
- timberlake has been an absolute whiff for them
- the whole arterio morris deal
- parker braun was always a whatever depth piece
- got your moneys worth out of dickinson so far yea
Using average Net Rankings, looks like Okie State has the toughest schedule. Makes sense that bad teams would have the hardest schedule, as they get one less tomato can to play.
| Team | Opp Avg Rank |
| Oklahoma State | 42 |
| West Virginia | 46 |
| Baylor | 47 |
| Iowa State | 48 |
| Houston | 49 |
| UCF | 50 |
| Oklahoma | 51 |
| Texas | 51 |
| Kansas State | 52 |
| TCU | 52 |
| Cincinnati | 54 |
| Kansas | 54 |
| Texas Tech | 54 |
| BYU | 57 |
I think OU's wins against USC and Iowa were initially thought to be good wins but time has proven them not to be all that great
Updated now that all teams only have their 18 B12 games remaining (Oklahoma State played Chicago St last night). So, they went from 13th to 5th. Others really didn't change much.
I agree with many of the posts... KU is WAY undervalued by this metric. I think Houston is WAY over valued as well. I would take a 10 win B12 season right now and see what happens in the post season. Regardless of how accurate BPI is - one thing is for sure it is going to be a brutal schedule the rest of the way.
I agree with many of the posts... KU is WAY undervalued by this metric. I think Houston is WAY over valued as well. I would take a 10 win B12 season right now and see what happens in the post season. Regardless of how accurate BPI is - one thing is for sure it is going to be a brutal schedule the rest of the way.
They also caught Arkansas early, and that win looks better than it should right now. However, I believe the Razorbacks will get their act together, making that win will look good on OU's resume at the end of the year.
I might disagree in that theory a bit. In terms of maximizing overall W-L it might actually be better for some teams to flush away games that would be likely to be losses home or away on the road, and get as many of the close to 50\50 games at home. Now, if you're at the level where the top teams are the 50\50 games, then yes, you want as many of those at home as possible.
This is an interesting view too... I took a look at the BYU vs. ISU schedules since those were ranked #1 and #14 by BPI.
If you break down the B12 into tiers based on betting odds like this:
Then here is a compare of the two schedules:
Basically, ISU plays two more games vs. tier 1 (understandable that it is more since BYU is in Tier 1) and BYU plays 2 more against Tier 4 teams.
BYU plays 5 out of a max 6 vs. T4. Then they play and 9 out of a max 14 vs. T1&2. Also, of the 9 TIer 1&2 games, 5 are at home, 4 are away.
We play the min 3 (-2) out of a possible 6 Tier 4 games. We then play 11 (+2) out of a max 14 tier 1 & 2 games. Also, of the 11 Tier 1 & 2 games, only 5 are home, 6 are away.
So, I think that this explains the perceived gap in SOS.... even if it is a different metric than BPI.
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And the Providence win might be as good as any so far.
Why does everyone think this schedule is so daunting? It might technically be tough according to computer metrics buts nothing compared to the last few years with the true round Robin in the conference.
We only play Kansas once. Texas and K-State aren't as good as they were last year. West Virginia, Tech, and Oklahoma State look alot worse. Oklahoma and BYU are frauds.
Go look at BYU, unless they just got an entire new team, coaching staff, and program, how do they go from finishing 3rd or 4th on a good year in the WCC to all of a sudden being a Big 12 powerhouse? What exactly has Oklahoma done with Moser so far that shows they are a serious contender?
You also have a clear bottom this year with West Virginia, UCF, and maybe Cincinnati, something that hasn't happened probably since we were the bottom feeders with Prohm.
We only play Kansas once. Texas and K-State aren't as good as they were last year. West Virginia, Tech, and Oklahoma State look alot worse. Oklahoma and BYU are frauds.
Go look at BYU, unless they just got an entire new team, coaching staff, and program, how do they go from finishing 3rd or 4th on a good year in the WCC to all of a sudden being a Big 12 powerhouse? What exactly has Oklahoma done with Moser so far that shows they are a serious contender?
You also have a clear bottom this year with West Virginia, UCF, and maybe Cincinnati, something that hasn't happened probably since we were the bottom feeders with Prohm.
I agree with this. While the first 9 games are tougher than the overall schedule last year, we get a break in the last half. We get 5 winnable games at home, and by the time we have to go to Cincinnati and UCF, they'll be beat down by conference play. I'm not going to panic if we're 3-6 at the halfway point, because I think 7-2 in the last half is very do-able.
