I think the OP is also assuming that no one on the roster develops in the however many months it is between now and then. After watching Ejim, Diante, Naz, Hogue, Babb, McGee, etc. develop over the last few year that is a stupid assumption.
people have said that about virtually every black swan event in the history of mankind
I'm more worried about how the class of 2032 will adjust to the new 4 point line. Haven't heard Fred say anything about his plan on that, so I'm already worried.