Virginia like ALR likes to play slow. That's great. We'll nail em in transition and it's easier to control the tempo with a team like that. Also favors us to make less turnovers which is key.
Only problem is Virginia is way more talented than LR, plays even slower, and has better defensive FG stats. Going to be a tough matchup, ISU needs to keep it going with the fantastic shot selection they've had this tourney to do well against Virginia
Virginia's defense is predicated on pressuring the ball handler, disrupting passing lanes, forcing post players to catch the ball as far away from the low post as possible. They don't try to turn you over with pressure, mostly just try to prevent you from putting the ball in key locations to take good shots. I think if ISU runs Niang from the point, wing, or high post Virginia will have trouble guarding him with their defensive scheme. Monte hitting mid range jumpers and everyone hitting from outside will be key since Virginia's defense tends to give up 3 point and mid range attempts moreso than traditional post up type offense. More good news for us is Niang has shown even if he catches the ball far off the block, he can still make a move to get decent shots off.
On defense we need to stick to their shooters like glue as we did with LR as I think they will try a lot of ball screens to get shooters open. I suspect they will also try driving the lane against us to get our frontcourt in foul trouble. I think it's imperative that Nader/Niang don't get in foul trouble.
I think ISU squeaks out a close one if they continue with their good shot selection(and hitting those shots), and staying out of foul trouble. It's really all about finding and taking good shots, which would allow ISU to get an early lead on the scoreboard and force Virginia to run more.
If ISU falls into the trap of giving easy fouls or being forced into poor shots they will fall behind on the scoreboard, and Virginia can dictate tempo and force us into their style of game which would end in a likely loss.