This clipper is very unusual, trying to bring QPF around 0.75-1.00". (Even a bit more with the NAM) Still don't know if I totally buy that. It's not that there is a ton of moisture, but the amount of lift is pretty impressive, and maybe even more-so, the amount of time we're going to be able to keep some of that lift around.
Still some differences on placement across the models on where to place the band of heaviest snow... with perhaps a shift NE overall with the latest 6z stuff. Still liking the GFS the best, it has been the most consistent over the last few days... Putting the highest totals on (and around) a line from about the MN River in Minnesota to Owatonna to Decorah, IA.
This is going to be a long drawn out event, over 36+ hours so we are looking at a prolonged light/moderate snowfall. Long enough, some compaction, melting may even impact the totals so that's just another wrench in things.
Overall, a very tricky forecast for things being less than 24 hours out from starting. I'm thinking we'll end up with a lot of people up around 10" of snow so I'd open up the range a bit to 8-12" in SE MN and N IA. Others may say higher, but at this point too many question marks to get too crazy.
