Drop both, and it seems we’ll have to win KC again or do very well in Big 12 play
2019-2020 Computer Projections Thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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Drop both, and it seems we’ll have to win KC again or do very well in Big 12 play
Current teamrankings for our high major schedule for the year. I would guess we are one of the few teams scheduled to play 25 games against teams in the top 100 and 10 games against teams in the top 25.
99 Kansas St (x2)
80 Alabama
64 TCU (x2)
58 Oregon St.
57 Texas (x2)
43 Oklahoma (x2)
42 WV (x2)
41 Iowa
33 OSU (x2)
24 Texas Tech (x2)
17 Michigan
12 Seton Hall (x2)
11 Baylor (x2)
9 Auburn
1 Kansas (x2)
99 Kansas St (x2)
80 Alabama
64 TCU (x2)
58 Oregon St.
57 Texas (x2)
43 Oklahoma (x2)
42 WV (x2)
41 Iowa
33 OSU (x2)
24 Texas Tech (x2)
17 Michigan
12 Seton Hall (x2)
11 Baylor (x2)
9 Auburn
1 Kansas (x2)
My money's on Conditt. Dude plays with some fire (one of the things I love about him)
Tyrese is the most likely to draw a T from Iowa's players.
That's Iowa's goal.
Their thugs' only purpose last year was to shove their way to the hoop and throw out an injured player to get into Jacobsen's head and MJ fell for it.
KenPom bumped us up to #31 with a projected record of 18-13 (9-9) after tonight’s win.
Our Adjusted O belongs nowhere near that high. The way this team shoots it should be 40s or so.
We score at a high percentage inside the arc.
We also get to the line a lot compared to previous years. It's different but still pretty efficient.
I mentioned this previously, but the numbers back this up. Our outside shooting is not great, but we are making up for it on offense in other ways.
#93 in effective field goal percentage
#7 in avoiding turnovers
#215 in offensive rebounding
#174 in free throw rate
#22 in 2P%
#263 in 3P%
#31 in tempo
We suck at offensive rebounding and three point shooting.
However, we are one of the best teams in the country at avoiding turnovers (a turnover is basically as bad bricking a shot, so even if our percentages are not great, we have more shots at the basket than other teams). We brick outside shots but we are shooting at a very good clip from inside, which I imagine is mostly from high-percentage shots by the big men in the lane and/or Haliburton and Bolton finishing at the rim.
We have a good offense in ways that are just not flashy -- like draining threes. We start hitting those, though, if the past month has been an aberration instead of "what we are," oh my oh my, we could have an elite offense once we roll into the Big 12 season.
Huge boost out of that one -- +14% from 52% all the way up to 66%.
Beat Iowa, and I imagine that probably cracks at least 70% if not 75%.
Iowa, then two gimmes, and then the Big 12 starts thick and fast...
Beat Iowa, and I imagine that probably cracks at least 70% if not 75%.
Iowa, then two gimmes, and then the Big 12 starts thick and fast...
This is definitely one of my favorite things to check out after a W, thanks for updating it!
Projecting 2-2 record for the last 4 non-con seems wrong. 2 games at 96% and 99%. Then 68% Iowa and ??% at Auburn in January.
According to Bart Torvik...
62% Iowa
95% Fort Wayne
99% FL A&M
25% Auburn
= 2.81 wins expected
I am not sure how they handle it, but you would think that rounds up to 3-1 if you have to make it into whole numbers.
Sign me up for a 3-1 finish and that's a solid non-conference performance for this team
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Agreed... any better and we'd have a couple more Top-25 wins, and/or a solid P6 road win.
