2019-2020 Computer Projections Thread

Discussion in 'Mens Basketball' started by Sigmapolis, Nov 5, 2019.

  1. jereseib

    jereseib Well-Known Member

    Nov 12, 2015
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    I can't believe people are still talking NCAA tournament and 10-8 at this point.
     
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  2. Hoggins

    Hoggins Active Member

    Sep 2, 2019
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    Argeed. 17-12 (10-8) would likely not even be enough. That boat anchor of a loss to Florida A&M would likely require 2 more wins to get to 19-10.

    Florida A&M is a really, really, really ******* bad loss.
     
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  3. cyclonepower

    cyclonepower Well-Known Member

    Oct 5, 2006
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    27% chance to make the tournament seems high
     
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  4. Cyched

    Cyched Minister of Culture
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    After Tuesday somehow winning KC is probably our only hope at the tourney
     
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  5. jereseib

    jereseib Well-Known Member

    Nov 12, 2015
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    West Virginia just beat Ohio State the other night. So IMO they have 9 games out of 19 left that would require pulling a monumental upset. Thats counting Baylor, KU, Tech, West Virginia twice, then the road game at Auburn.

    Winning in Austin is probably out as even our best teams have struggled down there. Oklahoma State seems improved so thats probably another loss down there. I dont know much about Oklahoma or TCU but I would guess we have a shot to win at least 1 or 2 out of the 4. K-State looks as bad as us so maybe they could sweep them.

    I thought they would finish about 7-11 when I first looked at the schedule, but that seems like a long shot right now if you break the schedule down. I think realistically we are looking at another 4-14 season.
     
  6. FinalFourCy

    FinalFourCy Well-Known Member

    Mar 5, 2017
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    It’s Prohm’s best attribute. And given the importance of pg play, it’s a strength that can nearly carry a program.

    Take elite pg play away and we see just how mediocre the rest of Prohm’s coaching is? Imo we primarily lost that game for reasons other than the offense lacking elite pg play. Things that are consistently weaknesses, but such pg play is great lipstick.

    We’ve had worse offensive games with Haliburton, but not a worse defensive outing imo. Haliburton is a good defender in terms of gaining possessions, so he would have helped there too.
     
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  7. Statefan10

    Statefan10 Well-Known Member

    May 20, 2019
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    The Pokemon reference was superb. 10/10.
     
  8. Sigmapolis

    Sigmapolis Well-Known Member
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    upload_2020-1-5_11-3-5.png
     
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  9. Cyched

    Cyched Minister of Culture
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    Dear @Sigmapolis

    Where do you get off? Part of a balanced posting style and statistics? Who do you think you are?

    By now, you may have guessed I'm speaking ironically and have nothing but good things to say about what you do. @Sigmapolis, do not change a thing.
     
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  10. Cy$

    Cy$ Well-Known Member

    Sep 1, 2011
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  11. herbicide

    herbicide Well-Known Member

    Mar 23, 2006
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    #111 herbicide, Jan 5, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 5, 2020
    They also have some nice ocean front properties in Arizona for sell.
     
  12. heitclone

    heitclone Well-Known Member

    Jun 21, 2009
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    Way up there
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    Even prior to the FAMU or Iowa games, on paper, @TCU looked like one we had to win to make the tourney. Going to need to pick that one up somewhere else, the positive spin is, the bottom 6 of the league is a pillow fight. There are winnable road games out there.
     
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  13. herbicide

    herbicide Well-Known Member

    Mar 23, 2006
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    I think there is a lot of potential for growth, this team might be pretty good by the end of the season. I just fear it’ll be too late for it to matter.
     
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  14. Cyched

    Cyched Minister of Culture
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    I'm at the point where this is what I'll be looking for. Give us something positive to take away from this year.
     
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  15. Sigmapolis

    Sigmapolis Well-Known Member
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    Thank you. That is very nice of you.

    I have said this before, but it rings truly ever day. In the Twentieth Century, the men in the gray flannel suits on Madison Avenue figured out that sex sells. In the 21st, the purveyors of social media in the Bay Area and "traditional" media in Los Angeles and New York figured out that rage sells. The Internet and those business models run on anger.

    Unfortunately, how strongly you emote does not justify the validity of your opinions. The world is complex, and I try to look at it in its own complex ways.

    I will echo this but add one thing to it --

    Tyrese is a monster. I would like to see something positive from the other guys on the roster, particularly Conditt and Bolton, who likely need to be our two best players and all-conference next level next season if we are to amount to anything.
     
  16. Cyched

    Cyched Minister of Culture
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    Conditt and Bolton absolutely.

    Also considering how much SP seems to like Tre Jackson, I’ll be watching him develop as well
     
  17. awd4cy

    awd4cy Well-Known Member

    Dec 29, 2010
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    Where can I bet my house that we don’t reach 8-10?
     
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  18. Sigmapolis

    Sigmapolis Well-Known Member
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    The good news --

    We were supposed to lose that game anyways, so it did not hurt our projection much.

    The bad news --

    Basically everything else, and our projections are still a downer.

    The path is there if we catch fire in the second half of the Big 12 season when the schedule because significantly easier. The team has some talent.

    It is just not coming together right now for a bevy of reasons.

    upload_2020-1-9_13-0-18.png

    upload_2020-1-9_13-0-44.png

    The next two home games are MUST wins for any sort of postseason.
     
  19. cyclonepower

    cyclonepower Well-Known Member

    Oct 5, 2006
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    so the percentage is above 0? Higher than I expected...
     
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  20. Sigmapolis

    Sigmapolis Well-Known Member
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    Aug 10, 2011
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    To quote Meatloaf --

    Out of the frying pan and into the fire
    And into the fire, fire, fire,


    upload_2020-1-12_12-33-51.png

    We still might turn this around.

    I also wanted to highlight the advanced box score for last night --

    upload_2020-1-12_12-34-41.png

    -- having three guards pulling their weight changes everything
    -- Lewis had an alright performance and probably deserves a solid spot in the rotation after that, but we should not anoint him with the expectations of savior
    -- I am still glad to see the young man finally having an impact on the team, however, and it seems he is popular with the other guys, so that is great
    -- so glad to see Conditt starting, Jacobson relegated to minimal minutes at the 4, and for Prohm to acknowledge he has three centers on the roster
     
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