*** Official #3 IOWA STATE vs Arizona Game(Day) Thread ***

awd4cy

Well-Known Member
Dec 29, 2010
27,979
19,608
113
Central Iowa
Houston got once in a million lucky themselves to beat KU. I think Houston goes down at least a couple times. They had the soft first part of the conf schedule. We had the opposite.
I hope we can get lucky at KU next week, or we’re going to be down 3 games in the standings to them with a road game at Houston looming. Going to be tough.
 

Klubber

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 11, 2006
1,780
2,096
113
Aurora, IL
Houston will have 1-2 tops
Houston will have games where their offense disappears. I can't believe all the people giving the title to Houston already. Honestly, I could see them losing @ WV Wed.

They still have to play TTech twice, Baylor twice, @ASU, @'Zona, Kansas and ISU. You really think they're running the table on all those games?
 

alarson

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Mar 15, 2006
59,494
74,202
113
Ankeny
Who cares about losses. We have way better wins. The resumes aren't even close right now. ISU is way better and Houston has some ground to make up. They have the schedule to do it. We'll see.

We do currently, but we only have 4 more Q1 opportunities on the schedule while they have 9 more, with 6 being Q1A
 

StLouisClone

Well-Known Member
Apr 16, 2006
8,025
580
113
St. Louis
Trying to block that and risk a foul on a shot with like a 2% make probability is the dumbest thing you could do.
It's a very low trajectory shot. Someone like Watson could block it easily. Would have liked to see him guarding Love there.

Plus the make probability is much higher than 2% (more like 5% to 8%) when you give a guy a clean look.
 

SoleCyclone

Well-Known Member
Mar 26, 2022
932
1,809
93
Make the first - 75%
Miss the second - Assume pretty good if you're trying - 90%
Get the rebound - During the game, AU had 13 offensive rebounds compared to ISU's 27 defensive rebounds - 32.5%
Make the put back - AU was 19 of 37 on 2 pt shots - 51.4%

.75x.9x.325x.514 = 11.3%

Considerably higher odds
He was 1-1 100% from 55ft. That's a better %
 

NorthCyd

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Aug 22, 2011
21,142
35,662
113
We do currently, but we only have 4 more Q1 opportunities on the schedule while they have 9 more, with 6 being Q1A
That's why I said they still have the schedule to do it. They still have to do it. They damn near lost at UCF and needed a miracle to win at KU. Maybe they can run the table, or maybe they come back to earth. We'll see.