Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)

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SpokaneCY

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Apr 11, 2006
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If over 400,000 people weren't still coming to and from China after the 'ban', I guess and it sounds just a touch less effective since it was also coming from Europe.

Add in that there were like 40 other countries that put in bans before the US and it doesn't sound so unprecedented.

Just about everything we are going through right now is unprecedented - not sure if there is a manual on how this works. When was the last time we shut all travel from China? What is right and/or what is constitutional? What is effective and what is a sham? Why am I shut down in Spokane when we've had 300 infections and 20 deaths even when we were in the epicenter? What is federal and what is state? What powers do the feds really have? What are the domains of the states and where are they failing/succeeding? There is some fault on the margins for EVERYONE but there are also some successes and true leadership going on.
 

madguy30

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You can say that if you take the CDCs model as gospel. Deaths have peaked or plateaud in most places. I guess we'll see if that trend continues. I hope so.

https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/coronavirus-deaths-united-states-each-day-2020-n1177936

That we know of so far. With re-openings we'll see what sorts of new surges occur. Same with other countries.

Tin foil in me thinks the WH using the CDC projections works in their favor for 'see how good we did!?' if it that doesn't happen.

Downplay it, then when that looks bad, overplay it so it looks better later, and pretend history is different.
 

ArgentCy

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Jan 13, 2010
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Argent is completely wrong about something. I am shocked!

Try reading my statement again... Honestly I am surprised there are that many carriers for those diseases but clearly this is a difficult problem that no one has been able to solve. It still means that there are multiple variables that affect not just this virus but all viruses and disease. It's always a combination of factors and should never be attributed to just one thing.
 

Urbandale2013

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Jan 28, 2018
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That is a tragic story but if you actually listen to the fathers story linking that to covid 19 and having to stay at home is a stretch in the extreme.
Completely disagree. The kid likely had depression issues regardless but the situation clearly IMO contributed. I think people are going to greatly underestimate the impact of these types of scenarios.
 

Acylum

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Nov 18, 2006
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feel free to express that opinion to the Governor, who based her decision to "re-open" these counties based on # of positive tests declining.
Think about what you posted, even without knowing the testing rates. 108 new cases in 77 counties- less than 1.5 new cases/ county over a time frame we're not even sure of.
 

Stewo

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Oct 29, 2008
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https://www.haydenscorner.org/

We all knew these stories were coming but it doesn’t make it any easier to hear about. Remember you don’t know someone else’s situation.
This reminds me of just yesterday at Menard 's. There was a lady there (with someone) that very clearly was recovering for some sort of medical "issue". She had no hair except for a very small patch on her head (think current chemo patient). Some people are setting themselves up for failure during this thing. Probably a lot more than "some" actually .
 

bawbie

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Mar 17, 2006
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Think about what you posted, even without knowing the testing rates. 108 new cases in 77 counties- less than 1.5 new cases/ county over a time frame we're not even sure of.

I posted the 5 counties that have doubled their cases in the last 4 days. I believe 42 of the 77 counties say 1 or fewer new positive tests during that period - they would seem to still be justified for easing restrictions.

If there's a different metric to use to justify the partial "re-opening", I'm all ears, but right now positive test cases is all the Governor has presented
 
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NorthCyd

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Completely disagree. The kid likely had depression issues regardless but the situation clearly IMO contributed. I think people are going to greatly underestimate the impact of these types of scenarios.
It may have been a contributing factor, but pretty far down the list of contributing factors IMO. No way to say it wouldn't have occurred without this situation. I guess we can agree to disagree. Personally I think its sad when people politicize tragedies like this... and that goes for both sides.
 

isutrevman

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Jan 30, 2007
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feel free to express that opinion to the Governor, who based her decision to "re-open" these counties based on # of positive tests declining.
Did she? I've searched a little bit and couldn't find that as an explanation. I don't usually watch the daily press conferences.
 

nfrine

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Mar 31, 2006
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108 new cases in the 77 opened counties today. That's an almost 14% increase from the previous total, a new daily high (I think)

The number of new cases in those counties is clearly not declining - per the Governors metrics at least several of those counties should move to the other category

Since April 30th (4 days of May) the following "opened" counties have at least doubled their # of cases:

Wapello
Crawford
Greene
Guthrie
Boone
The impact resulting from recent regulation changes won't be seen for another week or so.
 

isuno1fan

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Mar 30, 2006
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Just found out my wife's cousin was laid off from Lutheran hospital here in DSM. She is a radiation tech. She's not needed if people are not coming in for any reason besides Covid. Lots of hospital staff likely to be laid off if we don't open things up a bit and allow elective surgeries to be scheduled across the board. 60 minutes had a good segment on this yesterday....hospitals are struggling big time and many are ghost towns right now.
 

bawbie

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Did she? I've searched a little bit and couldn't find that as an explanation. I don't usually watch the daily press conferences.

If I recall correctly, she said the 77 counties were picked because they met the WH criteria of 10 days of decreasing number of new cases. Maybe I'm misremembering that.
 

nfrine

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Mar 31, 2006
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Some actual, interesting data from the Iowa Veterans Home staff testing. As of April 27...
A. 120 staff members that were symptomatic were tested. Of those 120, 10 tested positive.
B. 481 staff members that were asymptomatic were subsequently tested.
Of those 481, 7 tested positive.
C. These 17 staff members were placed off work for a minimum of 21 days.
D. 4 residents have tested positive as of May 1. The first 2 positives were sent to the DSM Vet Hospital. 1 has already returned to the Veterans Home. The second is expected to return this week.
E. The other 2 resident positives were asymptomatic. These 4 residents were all in the same unit. All other residents in this unit (84) have tested negative.
 
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bawbie

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The impact resulting from recent regulation changes won't be seen for another week or so.

Agreed - I should have mentioned that. This is the underlying situation in which she chose to ease restrictions in those counties - NOT a result of "opening" them.
 

Acylum

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Nov 18, 2006
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If there's a different metric to use to justify the partial "re-opening", I'm all ears, but right now positive test cases is all the Governor has presented

I would say regional medical resource availability should play a big role, and how that availability is trending.
 

bawbie

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Mar 17, 2006
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Cedar Rapids, IA
Some actual, interesting data from the Iowa Veterans Home staff testing. As of April 27...
A. 120 staff members that were symptomatic were tested. Of those 120, 10 tested positive.
B. 481 staff members that were asymptomatic were subsequently tested.
Of those 481, 7 tested positive.
C. These 17 staff members were placed off work for a minimum of 21 days.
D. 4 residents have tested positive as of May 1. The first 2 positives were sent to the DSM Vet Hospital. 1 has already returned to the Veterans Home. The second is expected to return this week.
E. The other 2 resident positives were asymptomatic. These 4 residents were all in the same unit. All other residents in this unit (84) have tested negative.

That seems like a good example of using testing to trace and contain and outbreak. Good news.

in related news, I saw that worldometers.info started displaying totals for the VA and active military. The VA has 9300 positive cases and 538 deaths. Active military has 7100 cases and 27 deaths.
 
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