This is why Prohm must go........

SolarGarlic

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This is exactly what I have been feeling for the past couple years. Fred has been viewed as this golden child for his time here and Prohm is fighting his ghost as it hangs over the program.

Fred WAS the golden child, and he deserved that stature given his playing career and what he did as a coach. And not only that, he brought in some of the most beloved Cyclones of all time during his tenure.

That said, I would love Prohm if he was getting the same results as Hoiberg. But he's not. So Prohm is just considered a good guy with a lot to still prove.
 

srjclone

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A lot of this thread is arguing over the weight of the Big 12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament when NCAA seed is more indicative of the team's overall success. Under Hoiberg, we had NCAA seeds of:

8
10
3
3

Prohm's teams have earned seeds of:

4
5
6

Prohm's two best teams were stacked with Hoiberg's players. This isn't as complicated as this thread is making it out to be. Prohm hasn't shown that he's capable of maintaining what Fred started. From wins to team identity to protecting home court to national media attention, Prohm has been worse than Hoiberg. You can twist the numbers and the narrative, but it's obvious to anyone who has watched the games.

The program has gone from a Top 20 program to more of a Top 40 program. If Prohm can get them to the tournament the next two years, that's a step in the right direction and on par with ISU's history. But we've seen what's possible, and that will always be a mark against Prohm, whether that's fair or not. If we're going to be a Top 40 program, we have to win a game in the NCAA tournament (like Hoiberg did with the 8 and 10 seeds) more often than not, or it's going to feel like a disappointment.
I don't disagree with your post, but I did have a hold up at the bolded. What have we seen that's possible? It's not like Fred took us to some unprecedented height in ISU history. Was it the straight tournaments? The Big12 tourneys?
 
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Statefan10

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A lot of this thread is arguing over the weight of the Big 12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament when NCAA seed is more indicative of the team's overall success. Under Hoiberg, we had NCAA seeds of:

8
10
3
3

Prohm's teams have earned seeds of:

4
5
6

Prohm's two best teams were stacked with Hoiberg's players. This isn't as complicated as this thread is making it out to be. Prohm hasn't shown that he's capable of maintaining what Fred started. From wins to team identity to protecting home court to national media attention, Prohm has been worse than Hoiberg. You can twist the numbers and the narrative, but it's obvious to anyone who has watched the games.

The program has gone from a Top 20 program to more of a Top 40 program. If Prohm can get them to the tournament the next two years, that's a step in the right direction and on par with ISU's history. But we've seen what's possible, and that will always be a mark against Prohm, whether that's fair or not. If we're going to be a Top 40 program, we have to win a game in the NCAA tournament (like Hoiberg did with the 8 and 10 seeds) more often than not, or it's going to feel like a disappointment.
We were ranked last season for 6 weeks during the year and ended up #24 in the final AP poll. All Steve's guys. Fred's first three years he was ranked #25 for only one week. The 2014-2015 team was ranked #9 to end the year but lost in the first round to UAB.

Don't blame Steve for having success with Fred's guys. He had the same amount of success that Fred had with those guys and Steve didn't have any sort of bench his first year coaching. Steve had this team playing at a high level last year and there were even some national media people having Iowa State in their Final 4. So the whole "media attention" thing can get thrown out the window as well. Also, Steve hasn't been great at Hilton but has been incredibly solid on the road, so all in all that's pretty equal.
 

Statefan10

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Fred WAS the golden child, and he deserved that stature given his playing career and what he did as a coach. And not only that, he brought in some of the most beloved Cyclones of all time during his tenure.

That said, I would love Prohm if he was getting the same results as Hoiberg. But he's not. So Prohm is just considered a good guy with a lot to still prove.
Hoiberg: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 4 NCAA Tournament wins

Prohm: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 3 NCAA Tournament wins

May need to check my glasses, but I believe these look pretty similar.
 

ISUChippewa

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I don't disagree with your post, but I did have a hold up at the bolded. What have we seen that's possible? It's not like Fred took us to some unprecedented height in ISU history. Was it the straight tournaments? The Big12 tourneys?

You know, if any coach in ISU basketball history needs to be held up as a real example of what is possible here, it's Larry Eustachy, not Fred Hoiberg.

Yes, the crash and burn that he had here was spectacular, but those two Big 12 championship seasons we had with him, all the way up to the belly flop against Baylor in '01, were absolutely amazing, and frankly no other coach in school history, not Fred, and not Steve Prohm either, has come close to that standard yet.
 

madguy30

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Hoiberg: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 4 NCAA Tournament wins

Prohm: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 3 NCAA Tournament wins

May need to check my glasses, but I believe these look pretty similar.

What was clearly an identity in Fred's program?

What is clearly an identity in Prohm's program?

I'm not talking NBA players, recruiting classes, etc.

What is a consistent thing we know we're going to see out of Prohm's basketball teams that defines his success?
 

srjclone

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You know, if any coach in ISU basketball history needs to be held up as a real example of what is possible here, it's Larry Eustachy, not Fred Hoiberg.

Yes, the crash and burn that he had here was spectacular, but those two Big 12 championship seasons we had with him, all the way up to the belly flop against Baylor in '01, were absolutely amazing, and frankly no other coach in school history, not Fred, and not Steve Prohm either, has come close to that standard yet.
I don't disagree at all. He did everything that isu fans clamor for. His teams played their assess off, they had an identity, they had talent, and he had passion.
 

Statefan10

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What was clearly an identity in Fred's program?

What is clearly an identity in Prohm's program?

I'm not talking NBA players, recruiting classes, etc.

What is a consistent thing we know we're going to see out of Prohm's basketball teams that defines his success?
I think Prohm took Hoiberg's identity of run & gun / 3pt mindset as to not completely change the dynamic of those players that played in Fred's system. I think Prohm is starting to construct his own identity as a coach where he wants his teams to be more focused on defense. I also think Prohm wants to be very long and play passing lanes, then push the ball and get to the rim. The reason I say that is the players Prohm has got in next year's class, as well as some of the guys he recruited in the past (Halliburton, THT, Griffin, Leech), fit that mold of a long athletic guy.
 
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FinalFourCy

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Prohm's two best teams were stacked with Hoiberg's players. This isn't as complicated as this thread is making it out to be. Prohm hasn't shown that he's capable of maintaining what Fred started. From wins to team identity to protecting home court to national media attention, Prohm has been worse than Hoiberg. You can twist the numbers and the narrative, but it's obvious to anyone who has watched the games.

The program has gone from a Top 20 program to more of a Top 40 program. If Prohm can get them to the tournament the next two years, that's a step in the right direction and on par with ISU's history. But we've seen what's possible, and that will always be a mark against Prohm, whether that's fair or not. If we're going to be a Top 40 program, we have to win a game in the NCAA tournament (like Hoiberg did with the 8 and 10 seeds) more often than not, or it's going to feel like a disappointment.
Agree.

We have a “It’s Year 5” group.

We have a “It’s Year 3” faction, with the first two seasons not heavily weighted when forecasting the future of the program under Prohm.

There’s also the “It’s Year 4” vocal minority. Prohm did great his first two seasons, 2017-18 didn’t count due to Fred’s recruiting, and last year gets a big bump due to three games at Hilton South.

The narrative on Prohm greatly depends on making the tournament this year. If we were to miss, and Haliburton leaves, Prohm would need next year to surprise imo. Make it this year, and not only is it 4 tournaments in 5, with this year not having a large talent buffer, but next year looks a lot more promising. As always, things can change quickly in CBB. Land the right player or get lucky in March, and things pivot.
 
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Hoiberg: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 4 NCAA Tournament wins

Prohm: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 3 NCAA Tournament wins

May need to check my glasses, but I believe these look pretty similar.
Well, Prohm also inherited one of the most talented rosters in Iowa State history. What did Hoiberg have when he can here? Basically nothing, then made the tournament the next season.
 

CYEATHAWK

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Well, Prohm also inherited one of the most talented rosters in Iowa State history. What did Hoiberg have when he can here? Basically nothing, then made the tournament the next season.

Well, unless you want to submit ANYONE could have walked into this with that roster, then your point is old and played out. However for the sake of amusement let's play that game. So 17-18 would have been the true transition year since we cannot count the first two all praise to Fred. Well what did he do after a season with "basically nothing"...........made the tournament the next season...............oh s***! Try again.
 

Statefan10

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Well, Prohm also inherited one of the most talented rosters in Iowa State history. What did Hoiberg have when he can here? Basically nothing, then made the tournament the next season.
I know that I've made this point plenty of times here.. But Prohm had to literally re-recruit guys to stay at Iowa State. Sure he had the upper hand, but there were guys with one foot out the door and very skeptical with Prohm when he got here. I'm sure all of them are very happy with the fact that they stayed here and finished their careers at Iowa State.

Many people are also bringing up that Prohm's first year should've gone better because if Fred was here it would've gone better.. Well no s***. Although Fred left some very talented players for Prohm to start, he left no recruiting class and left at a terrible time of the year to try and recruit guys (May). Prohm had to scramble to put together a team and losing Naz that year crippled them (still made the Sweet 16). The next year Prohm brought in D-Jack and Solomon who helped that team reach their potential (Big 12 Title, loss in round 2 to Purdue by 4, who were the Big 10 Champions).

Also, you're bringing up Fred's second year, however that year we had 3 losses going into the conference season and those losses were to UNI, Drake, and Michigan. Fred's 3rd year.. 3 losses going into the conference season; UNLV, Cincy, Iowa. My point is you have to allow this team this year some time to grow together and work their way through the season. We could win the next 5 games, and the outlook on the post-season would change drastically. Just ride the roller coaster that is college basketball.
 

megamanxzero35

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I disagree, respectfully of course, about what Fred's next year would've looked like had he stayed. I'm fairly confident that there were a few very good recruits that were leaning pretty heavily towards Iowa State the next year and the following year. None of those guys came to light because Fred stopped trying on the recruiting end once he knew the Bulls job was going to open (which he knew about halfway through the 2014-2015 year). That next year under Fred would've been unbelievable, but it is what it is.
We'll probably just have to agree to disagree. But I'd just offer this counter viewpoint.

Unless Fred made it clear the NBA wasn't his next step, I'm still not sure how many of those leans actually go our way. I seem to recall that being the message on the lack of high school kids coming in his last couple years and needing transfers to fill holes. And isn't the consensus of TJ coming back was Fred trying to set him up with the job? If Fred was going to stay does he bring TJ back? We can't really know for sure. Does Monte stay for his senior year with Fred here? Or is Fred left with Thomas, Naz, and Burton and any transfers or HS recruits for his potential Year 7.

Something too that no one mentions much is the Big 12 is way better now than when Fred was here. At least in my opionion. Tech and TCU were garbage during Fred's time and TCU has made the tourney and won the NIT last 2 years and we have all seen what Tech has done. All though Fred was still losing to Tech on the road even when he was here. WVU had their Top 10 run mainly after Fred left.

I would concede that Fred could of had a better Year 6 than Prohm Year 1, but I'd really only attribute that to continuity. I can't blame Prohm for not going farther or doing better than Fred would have when Fred was the one that chose to leave. But we've seen both Fred and Prohm get bounced in the first round so Fred could have won the Big 12 regular season title and than not make the Sweet 16.

And again, all this illustrates what Prohm is fighting. The What If's of the Ghosts of Hoiberg. And that is something Prohm won't ever be able to overcome and honestly might stick around even past Prohm and ISU basketball turns into a program that fans think more of it than it actually is and we wallow because of it.
 
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megamanxzero35

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Fred WAS the golden child, and he deserved that stature given his playing career and what he did as a coach. And not only that, he brought in some of the most beloved Cyclones of all time during his tenure.

That said, I would love Prohm if he was getting the same results as Hoiberg. But he's not. So Prohm is just considered a good guy with a lot to still prove.
What I mean is that Fred's teams and years are looked at like they were untouchable. Fred did a lot right and did a lot of great, but his 5 years weren't some untouchable mark. Basically my point.
 
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Statefan10

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We'll probably just have to agree to disagree. But I'd just offer this counter viewpoint.

Unless Fred made it clear the NBA wasn't his next step, I'm still not sure how many of those leans actually go our way. I seem to recall that being the message on the lack of high school kids coming in his last couple years and needing transfers to fill holes. And isn't the consensus of TJ coming back was Fred trying to set him up with the job? If Fred was going to stay does he bring TJ back? We can't really know for sure. Does Monte stay for his senior year with Fred here? Or is Fred left with Thomas, Naz, and Burton and any transfers or HS recruits for his potential Year 7.

Something too that no one mentions much is the Big 12 is way better now than when Fred was here. At least in my opionion. Tech and TCU were garbage during Fred's time and TCU has made the tourney and won the NIT last 2 years and we have all seen what Tech has done. All though Fred was still losing to Tech on the road even when he was here. WVU had their Top 10 run mainly after Fred left.

I would concede that Fred could of had a better Year 6 than Prohm Year 1, but I'd really only attribute that to continuity. I can't blame Prohm for not going farther or doing better than Fred would have when Fred was the one that chose to leave. But we've seen both Fred and Prohm get bounced in the first round so Fred could have won the Big 12 regular season title and than not make the Sweet 16.

And again, all this illustrates what Prohm is fighting. The What If's of the Ghosts of Hoiberg. And that is something Prohm won't ever be able to overcome and honestly might stick around even past Prohm and ISU basketball turns into a program that fans think more of it than it actually is and we wallow because of it.
Cheick Diallo, Cassius Winston, and Miles Bridges all might've came had Fred stayed and was committed to staying. I know that all three of them were heavily considering Iowa State until Fred went to the Bulls. Monte had huge pull with Winston and Bridges.
 
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Malone

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What I mean is that Fred's teams and years are looked at like they were untouchable. Fred did a lot right and did a lot of great, but his 5 years weren't some untouchable mark. Basically my point.

I have not been a Fred sunshine pumper. Honestly I haven't seen a lot of people - at least of late - that cling to him. There seems to be a lot of straw man attacking going on, on this site.

I'll give my thought on the Fred and Prohm paradigms/comparisons, but just for full disclosure: I had an open mind when Prohm was hired. It seems like most fans did from my admittedly hazy recollection. He wasn't my first choice, but based on his teams' Kenpom metrics it looked like he handled things quite well when he was at Murray St. Defense wasn't great but it looked like an improvement over what Fred's staff was doing. He was clearly excited for the job as he let it leak he got it before the announcement was made. There is no questioning his passion for being at Iowa State, and he's never been anything but class. We all appreciate that.

To me, there's one thing that tidily explains the dissent for Prohm: lack of IDENTITY. Fred's teams had an identity, and a powerful one at that: offensive firepower backed by charismatic guys who played for each other. Fred got guys that could really launch from land and the passing and spacing and flow was something to behold. Sweet baby Jesus, help any team in the country when his teams were on. Fred would run multiple sets with clever hitches and counters (screen up top for Ejim vs. Baylor in Big 12 Championship comes to mind for some reason). Out of bounds plays were a thing of beauty. He'd find ways to get his best players iso'd on the other teams' worst defenders. He'd get timely contributions in timely moments.

Conversely, Prohm's squads don't have an easily perceptible identity. I can't think of one thing I'd call a strength or enjoyable to watch. I fully expect Sigmapolis to respond with "Kenpom offensive rating" or "Bartorvik *whatever*" but anybody who watched Fred's teams realize there was an IDENTITY to those teams that made it exciting basketball. That identity for the most part hasn't existed under Prohm.

The Suns couldn't play defense during their high years. Virginia has often been average offensively. Hell, my 8th grade team couldn't hit the broad side of a barn but we were vicious defenders and rebounders. Huggins, Frank Martin, etc. All identities that the fan base knows what to expect. And they've produced results that make it easy to back. With an identity the fanbase knows what to expect, and things are easier to love when you understand what they are. You never know what to expect from Prohm's squads. It still seems like Steve's still trying to figure out what he wants.He'll plug up a hole one game but other issues from the past pop up, leaving fans to wonder, "What is this team?" each year so far after Fred's recruits moved on. He clearly likes to space the floor, but he's obtained a roster full of chuckers that can't actually shoot. And it appears the commits for next year aren't really shooters either. It feels like everything he's trying to do is discordant from what is being produced.

I root for him and his improvement. Fred showed you don't have to be a howling jacka$$ to control a basketball game, and Prohm's fine with his style. I just think he needs to figure out what he is, and then get the right guys to do it. And it's extremely troubling that we're in year five without knowing what he is and that, seemingly, he doesn't know what he wants. Funny thing is, I'm now remembering posting something along these lines a year or two ago.
 

SolarGarlic

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I don't disagree with your post, but I did have a hold up at the bolded. What have we seen that's possible? It's not like Fred took us to some unprecedented height in ISU history. Was it the straight tournaments? The Big12 tourneys?

We lived in the Top 25 during Hoiberg's tenure.
 

SolarGarlic

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Hoiberg: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 4 NCAA Tournament wins

Prohm: Two Big 12 Tournament Titles, One Sweet-16 Appearance, 3 NCAA Tournament wins

May need to check my glasses, but I believe these look pretty similar.

If you want to act like Hoiberg's players weren't the primary reason for Prohm's three NCAA tournament wins, you are free to do so.
 

cyclones500

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I agree with the no-identity portion. Prohm seems to hint at identity (such as pesky defense) but somehow doesn't go 100% toward it. I think with the lengthy 4-guard style with supposed emphasis on being tougher and using defense to fuel offense & transition, they need to commit to that and then get the half-court identity established. It could mean some rough losses along the way vs. teams that have a clear advantage inside, and going more for steals could also lead to a giving up a lot of easy points. I guess that's a risk you take.

That isn't the whole slice of pie, just one angle.