Big 12 tournament matchup vs Baylor
- Thread starter Cyclonepride
- Start date
score more points than Baylor and you'll win
It truly is. It's lazy and not true.
Well, it is true if stated BEFORE the 1st matchup (statistics) but after 2-0, the team that has already won twice wins the 3rd matchup more often than not.
I think it is time to start Lindell. He's been rebounding like we need from the guard spot, and his defense has been better.
I was thinking the same thing about Wigginton on defense. Not only is his on the ball defense horrible...not as bad as Lewis I don't think, but Wigginton always loses his man in transition as well as being that guy who just stands and watches 2 passes away thinking his man only stays in one spot. Its really really terrible to watch and I would bet if we notice that, Prohm has coached him on it a million times and he just doesn't care/listen or doesn't want to get better on that end.
think that ship has sailed. If he was going to start, he would have started him by now.
We've already discussed this. You're using statistics that includes mostly games in which one team was heavily favored in the first two matchups.
There's likely still an advantage for the team that is 2-0, but it's nothing close to the high percentage that Blum tweeted out.
Truth ^^
I never mentioned Blum or any percentages. I didn't even know Blum had discussed it.
No one is saying Iowa St has an advantage because they're 0-2 against Baylor, but I don't think it's 75% likely Baylor wins.
There's also these numbers
Basically back to 50/50 type game. Unless of course one thinks Iowa St is just broken at this point, then you throw out previous matchups.
My response is to the "tough to beat a team 3 times" statement. It's not. Even at 50/50 it's a false statement. If we win it's not because we lost the previous 2 times.
Conditt and Jacobson shared the floor at Texas. For a very short time.
count me in the camp that thinks we can and should win this game. Forget about the odds of a team winning 3 times, etc. We nearly won in Waco when things were going well, and game 2 in Ames was when we were completely broken. Meaning, we could as easily be 2-0 as 0-2 Add in that the game is likely to be heavily Cyclone fans versus Baylor fans (nearly a home game), and that team focus and effort should be back (making an assumption here i realize), I bet we win comfortably. Will be close for most, but we pull away late.
Personal opinion, but I think the effectiveness of our guards (in guarding the pick and roll) has been hampered by ineffective play of their help from inside. We did that better against Tech, and earlier in the year.
My guess - JUCO next year, and then finish somewhere like SFA or a Louisiana school. However, I have no info, just opinion.
It's like saying the next coin flip is going to be tails because the first two were heads.
That's just not how it works.
- Conditt, Jacobson, and Lard need to get at the glass. Don't need to be so aggressive that we are out of place. I would trade blocks for more Rebs. They are tops in the nation in ORebs, while we are not good at DRebs.
- THT and Wigginton hit their FT's
- Shayok does Shayok things
- Haliburton going off for 3 when open
Small adjustment to that though (IMO), the big needs to box out, and the guards need to come in to rebound the misses. That combination would likely keep the rebounding numbers closer to even. Half the problem is the big having to help stop the drive and getting out of position for the rebound as well, so the guard keeping in front of his man (or at least enough that help doesn't need to come) would make a big difference too.
What help would that be?
Lard blocks and disrupts shots, but then is totally out of position so we give up 2nd chance points 80% of the time. Plus he only was playing 10 minutes per game, which seems to have gone down to 0 minutes per game. No help there.
MJ always seems to be in no-mans land, halfway between helping and staying with his guy. Doesn't have the quicks, ups, or height to compensate, but he does a good job of getting in position to rebound - just in time to watch the ball go thru the net. Not much help there either.
Conditt is our best help / rim protector IMHO. He is okay at disrupting shots, and probably as good at getting into position to rebound as MJ. But he does make a lot of freshman mistakes. So he is probably serviceable in this aspect, but let's not pretend he is Kelvin Cato either.
I wonder what putting MJ and Conditt on the floor at the same time would be like? It would help with the rebounding, but you'd need to do some very different things offensively. Maybe next year that is our "big" package, vs going small.
