Big 12 tournament matchup vs Baylor

Rogue52

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I heard a Vegas bookie on the radio this week that claimed 70% of teams that lose the first two meetings will also lose the third meeting.

We had this same discussion two years ago in the 4 vs. 5 game against OSU except we were 2-0.

Yes, the first two matchups were close which likely means the third will as well. An offensive rebound here or a turnover there will decide the game.
 

Baseline23

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I heard a Vegas bookie on the radio this week that claimed 70% of teams that lose the first two meetings will also lose the third meeting.

We had this same discussion two years ago in the 4 vs. 5 game against OSU except we were 2-0.

Yes, the first two matchups were close which likely means the third will as well. An offensive rebound here or a turnover there will decide the game.
The difference is either losing or winning a close game at this point, either for the team or the fans -- or the coach for that matter -- is massive at this point.
 
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SEIOWA CLONE

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The way we beat Baylor is having everyone crashing the boards when Baylor shoots the ball. We like to have one or both guards leak out, so we can start the break. We cannot do it against the Bears.

Baylor will throw up poor shots figuring they will get the rebound, they have done it both times we have played them. We need to stop worrying about trying to get fast break points and stress defensive rebounds the next few days in practice.

We also can not settle for quick 3 point shots, move the ball, and do not be afraid to attack the hoop, we will get fouled and be shooting free throws most of the game, if we do.

If we revert back to bring the ball down and throw up a three, unless we are shooting like we did against KU at home, we will be in trouble.
 

Gunnerclone

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I see the prevailing wisdom in this thread is try to beat Baylor at their game. Do you guys have any good inbounds plays you’d like to share?
 
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clonedlion

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If this line is anywhere close to pick or Clones as a dog, I will be betting on the good guys. Too easy to say Baylor will win a 3 time against this team, plus there hasn't been any advantage in Hilton, but a different venue couldn't hurt.
 
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ZZZ

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We didn’t play well in the last two meetings and still had great chances to win. If we show up, we’ll win.
I'm in the same boat. I don't feel like we played great either game, but we were in them. If we can hit shots and not get absolutely killed on the glass I like our chances.
 

Cyclonepride

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I'm in the same boat. I don't feel like we played great either game, but we were in them. If we can hit shots and not get absolutely killed on the glass I like our chances.

If we're hitting shots, I'm convinced that we can beat pretty much anyone. If we're not hitting shots, we're toast unless our defense really comes to play.
 
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alarson

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This is from 2 years ago, but...



The hard part is that stat likely includes a good number of games where the winning team was a definite favorite all 3 times. So the odds were strongly that it would go that way.

Probably harder to find data, but id be interested in seeing it in games where the games were both close the first 2 games.

I'd guess that would be closer to a coin flip on the third game, as both of the prior games were basically a coin flip as well.
 

FinalFourCy

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If we're hitting shots, I'm convinced that we can beat pretty much anyone. If we're not hitting shots, we're toast unless our defense really comes to play.
Prior to February we could hang in games even when shooting poorly. I don’t know if we can get back to that, but we’re capable.
 
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NENick

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Repeating something I posted in another thread earlier this week:
At Baylor: lost 73-70; out rebounded 33-28, offensive RBs 10-4. FTs, them 17-20, us 7-8.
Home: lost 73-69; out rebounded 44-28, offensive RBs 18-8 (yeah, that wasn't good).

Not quite as bad, in hindsight, especially considering the FT differential in the 1st game. Lets just score 74 and we'll be good!
 

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