Very Early 2/21 Weather Thread

[blizzisu]

Good old Earl just bumped the totals up again.

http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays-10to1.php3?STATIONID=DMX

View attachment 18397

 

[iahawkhunter]

Good old Earl just bumped the totals up again.

http://wxcaster.com/legends/TotalSnowFall_Legend.png

View attachment 18396

Whiteout conditions everywhere, huh?

 

[blizzisu]

Whiteout conditions everywhere, huh?

Refresh the thread you bastard...

 

[cyfanatic]

Good old Earl just bumped the totals up again.

Earl's GFS GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

View attachment 18397

Strange...those aren't the maps I am getting from Earl? Mine have Cedar Rapids in the 6 - 8 and the 8 - 10 range??

 

[AirWalke]

Good old Earl just bumped the totals up again.

Earl's GFS GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

View attachment 18397

That's probably with next week's potential storm included, though, right?

 

[chuckd4735]

Good old Earl just bumped the totals up again.

Earl's GFS GIS Radar Site Overlays Page

View attachment 18397

That model goes out 120 hours, so it is probably starting to include Mondays potential storm.

 

[FDWxMan]

That model goes out 120 hours, so it is probably starting to include Mondays potential storm.

Yes. It is snow thursday + snow through Monday morning according to the GFS model.


And again, for others, there is not a guy named Earl forecasting this. It's raw model output.

 

[CloneLawman]

Yes. It is snow thursday + snow through Monday morning according to the GFS model.


And again, for others, there is not a guy named Earl forecasting this. It's raw model output.

So are all models trending down for Omaha? Earlier you'd indicated the totals should increase (generally) as one traveled from Des Moines to Omaha?

 

[cmjh10]

Can I expect to not have to work and go to class on Friday? Cuz I really want that to happen.

 

[wartknight]

This just reminded me to stop by parks and rec to get my early bird discount on pool passes

 

[FDWxMan]

So are all models trending down for Omaha? Earlier you'd indicated the totals should increase (generally) as one traveled from Des Moines to Omaha?

I would still expect SW Iowa and Omaha to get more snow than Des Moines.

 

[snowcraig2.0]

Yes. It is snow thursday + snow through Monday morning according to the GFS model.


And again, for others, there is not a guy named Earl forecasting this. It's raw model output.

So, do you think you could get Earl to join this thread? Do you know him?

 

[NorthCyd]

The desperate attempts to squeeze a few more inches out of the forecast is hilarious. Time to give it up guys, this is just your average winter storm in Iowa.

 

[MartyMcCy]

Yes. It is snow thursday + snow through Monday morning according to the GFS model.


And again, for others, there is not a guy named Earl forecasting this. It's raw model output.

Earl looking at the raw model output to prepare his forecast.

View attachment 18403

 

[CycloneGB]

The desperate attempts to squeeze a few more inches out of the forecast is hilarious. Time to give it up guys, this is just your average winter storm in Iowa.

Nope! I just found this ultra-accurate forecast site. Hasn't been off more than 1" in the last 6 years.

Herman's Super Accurate Forecast Site & Other Such:

View attachment 18405

 

[isuska]

Nope! I just found this ultra-accurate forecast site. Hasn't been off more than 1" in the last 6 years.

Herman's Super Accurate Forecast Site & Other Such:

View attachment 18405

seems legit

 

[ISUFan22]

Great thread. Helped us follow the storm from Hawaii. We fly back in the middle of the 2, arriving Saturday at about 1PM central.

 

[CyDude16]

WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!!

 

[FDWxMan]

So, do you think you could get Earl to join this thread? Do you know him?

I'll try, but he never answers my calls anymore. All I get is this
[video=youtube_share;gsNaR6FRuO0]http://youtu.be/gsNaR6FRuO0[/video]

 

[blizzisu]

Noon update from KCCI is calling for 8" in the metro. More to the south and west. Less to the north and east.