What's our Big 12 record going to have to be to make NCAA Tourney?
- Thread starter BigJCy
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Even assuming we don't lose to Drake, I think 11 absolute minimum. Probably 12, with at least one win over KU.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
10 wins in the Big 12 should get us a top 4 finish in the Big 12. Kansas is the only proven team in the conference right now and I think 2-8 is going to be a heck of a fight this year as no one really stands out right now. The cream will rise to the top by early Feb.
I don't think BYU will end up be good, so I would say 12 should do, I see us getting around 8, think we will be tough at home and bad on the road...
at least 10 wins
we went 0-3 in the 3 ooc games that wouldve looked decent on our resume in march
anything less than 10 and we dont deserve a bid with the big 12 looking worse than we thought itd be
we went 0-3 in the 3 ooc games that wouldve looked decent on our resume in march
anything less than 10 and we dont deserve a bid with the big 12 looking worse than we thought itd be
We didn't beat anybody in the non-con last year, just like this year. Last year, we went 12-6 in conference, with three wins over top 10 teams in the country, and still got stuck in the 8/9 game. I don't think people realize how much having 6 games against Baylor/Mizzou/Kansas helped last season. So I'm not even sure we're safe at 11-7 this season, if those 11 are something along the lines of TCU/@TCU/TTU/@TTU/UT/@UT/WVU/OU/OSU/BU/KSU, because that's a pretty empty 11-7 with this conference, this season.
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It will be easier this year since we broke the seal finally last year and represented ourselves well in the two games we played.
We'll get the benefit of the doubt this year IMO.
We'll get the benefit of the doubt this year IMO.
Yep, we have screwed up non conference once again and we will need at least 11 wins in a poor B12 conference.
12-6.
Anything less requires conference tournament wins and count on a team such as Baylor, WVA, OSU to steal our bid with a run to the conference semis or finals with their superior NC schedule and better conference tournament play.
I would say you can count on 3 Big 12 bids but who knows anything from 2-6 is possible. The PAC 12 last year didn't get many bids and a pretty good Arizona team with plenty of SOS/RPI got sent to the NIT.
11-7 with no wins over KU will not be enough the team will finish with 11 losses if they don't win the conference tournament and will have no signature wins.
Anything less requires conference tournament wins and count on a team such as Baylor, WVA, OSU to steal our bid with a run to the conference semis or finals with their superior NC schedule and better conference tournament play.
I would say you can count on 3 Big 12 bids but who knows anything from 2-6 is possible. The PAC 12 last year didn't get many bids and a pretty good Arizona team with plenty of SOS/RPI got sent to the NIT.
11-7 with no wins over KU will not be enough the team will finish with 11 losses if they don't win the conference tournament and will have no signature wins.
Not so fast. I will be surprised if more than three B12 teams will be worthy. There are some bad losses out there.
Well, I am here to tell you nine of the ten teams are very beatable at this point.
You're on the right track, as far as "empty wins."
I haven't assessed remainder of other Big 12 non-conference at this point, but it looks like nearly all the projected upper-division teams won't exceed expectations. So it's possible there will be fewer chances to snag the biggies like last season.
Precise record isn't important, but the way it's looking:
Assuming ISU manages to go 10-3 in non-conference, BYU ends up as a good win and the losses are "quality losses" or at least non-detrimental, we probably need:
Category 1: Split with KU, OSU, OU, BU, KSU
Category 2: Sweep at least WVU or UT
Category 3: Sweep TCU and Tech
Could trade sweep-for-sweep within category 1.
That would be 12-6 ... probably safe around that range.
