What is the peak for ISU's football program

carvers4math

Well-Known Member
Mar 15, 2012
21,353
17,736
113
I don't disagree and I'd prefer divisional play but Majors's '71 & '72 teams and Bruce's '77 & '78 teams were all more "legit" than any team that have come after. The real problem for ISU is not having four OOC games, imo.

I think it was Bruce's 1976 team that was 8-3 with the three losses to top three teams in the country and they didn't even get a bowl bid. I think they finished the season ranked 18 or 19.
 

CTTB78

Well-Known Member
Apr 7, 2006
9,540
4,518
113
Yes, they did. The board is called Cyclone Fanatic, I am one, and the OP posits a question about ISU football. ISR is In State Rivals. If you intend to talk about Iowa, go there. "I've been pretty fair as a Hawk on this board..." is a comment for ISR.

Some get it, some don't.
 

norcalcy

Well-Known Member
Oct 20, 2010
2,158
1,793
113
Most of Iowa States most successful seasons have come during divisional play of the Big 12 era. Round robin format of the Big8(7 or 6) and the current Big 12 era have historically not been kind.

ISU ceiling in divisional format is 8-9 wins with a punchers chance at more

ISU ceiling in round robin play is 4-6 wins with an outside shot at 7

Boomer, I always enjoy your posts on this site. However, I think you are wrong about round robin and the current state of the Big XII. This isn't the 1990's or early 2000's anymore. There is parity in the current version of the Big XII. Excluding Kansas, the distance between the top of the conference and the bottom is as narrow as it has ever been. I recognize ISUs lack of tradition and success. Much of it has been self inflicted by lack of support and poor leadership from University Presidents. However, in the past 8-10 years ISU has been mainly limited by poor coaching (especially in in-game and player development aspects). Prior to this season, K State had the highest winning percentage for the previous three years. They have been very competitive with OU and TX. Given competent leadership, our ceiling is as high as theirs.
 

Lafaester54

Well-Known Member
Mar 18, 2011
743
543
93
Colorado/Arizona
IMO, there really is no ceiling. Reality is that it will be much more difficult to raise the level of FB to an ISU basketball level. Pretty much apples and oranges comparison because of the player numbers involved, lack of a winning tradition and other factors.
I would like to see ample time given to this staff to have a chance to build a winner. They will need the time if our success is to be built on developing players, recruiting and player retention. Think this will take a long haul approach.
The example of K-State is often brought up. The reservation I have for that model is the fact that Coach Snyder had experience with his coaching at Iowa when they improved their program, he had a model in place that had worked. We'll have to see what this staff can do. Based on the early returns re work ethic and enthusiasm thinks look positive.
 
Last edited:

CoolHawkeye

Member
Dec 29, 2015
74
0
6
First, the absolute ceiling of any team is the most number of wins we can potentially win in a season - in our case, our absolute ceiling is 14-0.

What most people are talking about with their 5-7 wins and low-mid tier bowl games are realistic ceilings. Personally, I think our ceiling on any given year is 8-10 wins. People will probably think that's high, but let's just look at the last decade (obviously ignoring the Chizik years and the last 3 years).

2005: We finished that regular season 7-4, but realistically we should have finished that regular season 10-1 or even 11-0. 3 of those 4 losses were in OT, the 4th was to a bad Baylor team, ALL were due to the fact McCarney was too afraid to crush the throat of an opponent he had lying prone on the ground staring up at him because we might make a mistake going for the kill that would cost us the game.

2006: We finished the season 4-8. Nearly every preseason mag that year expected us to finish with at least 8 wins that season and compete with Nebraska for the North title. That obviously didn't happen, and 2006 in conjunction with 2005 (and perhaps the seasons before that) is what got McCarney fired.

2009: In Rhoads' first year we finished 7-6, including a bowl win. However, we were 1 blocked XP with 30 seconds left in the game from taking K-State into OT. Who knows - maybe we beat K-State in OT, maybe we don't. Maybe by beating K-State we end up in a different bowl against a team we don't match up as well against and lose, or we play another team like Minnesota and we win. Bottom line is 8 wins was possible in 2009.

2010: We finished 5-7. Had both the K-State game (we lost that game in the 4th quarter) and Nebraska game (we lost that game in OT on a failed fake XP conversion where the wind batted down the holder's pass) been wins, we finish at 7-5 and are in a bowl game. Just like the previous year, maybe we win the bowl game, maybe we don't - but once again, 8 wins was possible in 2010.

2011: We finished 6-7. Once again, K-State - we lost the game in the 4th quarter. We win that game, perhaps we are in a different bowl game against a team we match up better against than Rutgers, and maybe we win the bowl game. Once again, 8 wins was possible in 2011.

2012: We finished 6-7. Once again, K-State. Also, we lost to WVU in the 4th quarter. 8 wins was possible in the regular season alone. Perhaps a different bowl matchup besides a rematch against Tulsa gets us a bowl win. Bottom line, 9 wins was possible in 2012.

2013: We finished 3-9. UNI, Iowa, Texas, Texas Tech, and TCU were all games we could/should have won. Flip the ****** on all 5 of those games and we finish our regular season 8-4.

I already know cynics are going to say "woulda coulda shoulda" with this post and start talking about how many other games we could have lost those seasons. But you completely miss the point, which is mistakes, mental errors, bad coaching decisions, lack of killer instinct, and sometimes straight up bad luck led to TONS of missed opportunities for the Cyclones over the last decade. My point is over the last decade we've been better than the 5-7 win "ceiling" that we as fans have randomly assigned to our team when we really should be expecting 8-10 wins, even in an extremely difficult Big 12 conference, if we would just play mistake-free football most of the time.

When I think of a Cyclone fan, this is the type of post that comes to mind.

Well done.
 

HARMCYN

Well-Known Member
Jan 20, 2012
731
261
63
Cambridge, IA
When I think of a Cyclone fan, this is the type of post that comes to mind.

Well done.


Oooooooooooooo Internet tough **** talker. Get out. Go talk **** about Matt Thomas's family on your board with the rest of your 8th grade educated circle jerk buddies.
 

dualthreat

Well-Known Member
Oct 8, 2008
11,013
3,882
113
The defeatist attitude around here is nauseating. "Our ceiling was when we beat OSU". "The best we can hope for is 7 wins."
 

jdoggivjc

Well-Known Member
Sep 27, 2006
61,629
23,888
113
Macomb, MI
When I think of a Cyclone fan, this is the type of post that comes to mind.

Well done.

And you as a tavern hok delta bravo, still so butthurt about your football team being outright exposed the last two games to the point you're spending all your time on this site instead of any number of garbage hok sites, would completely miss the point of my post. I would expect nothing less from someone with an EIU education - or, more likely, you being a typical tavern hok - no education whatsoever.
 

CyclonesForever

Well-Known Member
Nov 5, 2011
745
409
63
Ames, IA
Ask this question to K-State fans pre-Snyder and I bet you'd get a completely different answer than you'd get now. I'm my opinion, it's a dumb question to ask.
 

clone34

Well-Known Member
Mar 29, 2009
390
333
63
This year ISU played 5 teams that at one time were ranked inside the top 5 in the country. That is insanely difficult and leads to soul crushing losses. I did a quick check and Ferentz has played around 15 top 5 teams in his entire tenure at Iowa. Iowa state must get to a point where they can consistently beat 4 teams in the big 12 and start there. Kansas state has proven that without Snyder they will slide back to reality. So the realistic 4 big 12 wins are KU Kstate tech and West Virginia. I have chugged a 55 gallon drum of kool aid on the Campbll hire. He has proven that he can build a program. Iowa state has some good players that can win and they just need new leadership and a belief they can be successful. I am excited for the future.
 

clone34

Well-Known Member
Mar 29, 2009
390
333
63
As far as how Iowa state would do with Iowas schedule. The only two games that I know ISU would lose would be mich St and Stanford. I am not saying ISU would win them all but they would have a very good chance of winning 8.
 

CoolHawkeye

Member
Dec 29, 2015
74
0
6
And you as a tavern hok delta bravo, still so butthurt about your football team being outright exposed the last two games to the point you're spending all your time on this site instead of any number of garbage hok sites, would completely miss the point of my post. I would expect nothing less from someone with an EIU education - or, more likely, you being a typical tavern hok - no education whatsoever.

Pretty sure I understood the point of your post.

If ISU got every single break every year they would have a chance of winning 8 or so games.

Speaking of exposed, did you watch any basketball yesterday?
 

AltHawk

Active Member
Sep 2, 2012
614
296
28
As far as how Iowa state would do with Iowas schedule. The only two games that I know ISU would lose would be mich St and Stanford. I am not saying ISU would win them all but they would have a very good chance of winning 8.

And they would have a very good chance of winning three. What has Iowa State ever shown to prove they could consistently beat even the dregs of the B1G like Purdue, Maryland, Indiana, etc.
 

clonedude

Well-Known Member
Apr 16, 2006
33,045
29,290
113
The peak for ISU football.... that's easy IMO... Kansas State. We can be about as successful as KSU has been under Snyder IMO. That should be the goal of this program.

We are never going to be Alabama, Ohio State, LSU, Oregon, etc. But we can be KSU. Win between 5-8 games a year on average with maybe an occasional 9 win season or 4 win season sprinkled in there somewhere, but usually going to mid level bowl games year in and year out.

But we can't get there trying to be the next Baylor IMO. We will likely never have the quality of athletes needed to outrun and outspread the other Big 12 "south" teams. We will have to follow the KSU model. It may not be pretty, but it's effective.
 

tolfbfan

Well-Known Member
Nov 29, 2015
2,927
4,634
113
59
Ohio
The peak for ISU football.... that's easy IMO... Kansas State. We can be about as successful as KSU has been under Snyder IMO. That should be the goal of this program.

We are never going to be Alabama, Ohio State, LSU, Oregon, etc. But we can be KSU. Win between 5-8 games a year on average with maybe an occasional 9 win season or 4 win season sprinkled in there somewhere, but usually going to mid level bowl games year in and year out.

But we can't get there trying to be the next Baylor IMO. We will likely never have the quality of athletes needed to outrun and outspread the other Big 12 "south" teams. We will have to follow the KSU model. It may not be pretty, but it's effective.


What exatly is that model for a newbie?