FYI These guys beat NDSU and UNI last year. QB has significant experience. But DL in particular is very young.
Split with UNI last year. UNI beat them pretty handily in the regular season and SDSU won in the playoffs, both games in Brookings. NDSU would have blown them out if they'd have seen each other in the playoffs if the bracket had worked out right.
SDSU is a better matchup than UNI. Not as athletic, not as fast, not as well coached. Geodert and Weineke graduating is a huge deal. Those two made that offense dynamic. SDSU is still really solid but really overrated right now. They aren't anywhere close to the semi-final team they were last year.
I like Iowa State pretty comfortably. If Marcus Weymiller can get 170, David Montgomery can get 250. Iowa State 42-14.