For the record I am leaning towards giving KJ one more year but can see the argument for change now. But comments like the following are totally false: " ....but there is no evidence in 7 years that KJ can develop a top recruit. Ryak Finch and Joey Cozart both top 30 p4p recruits. Meeks #5 p4p. If anything, decent recruits coming in is all the more reason to make a change to get someone who could develop them. "
Every program has a subset of wrestlers they are not able to "develop" and Finch and Cozart where in the program less than 3 years so how can you use them as examples. Nice how you forget about the development of Varner (better as a Sr. then Junior), Zabriskie, Reader, Gadson, M. Moreno and G. Moreno until he got hurt two years ago. I will agree that the staff has a hard time getting freshmen and younger kids ready to compete. I think this has been the biggest learning curve for KJ. He is having to deal with 18-20 year olds and not 23-35 year old athletes. There is a big difference.
It appears to me KJ and staff over time can develop the top recruits that also have the desire to be a champion. This last part is the key and unfortunately he did not bring enough of those guys into the program in the early years and has paid for it. They spent 3-4 years trying to get numbers up so they could hold a solid practice. Obviously, Cozart/Finch were not the type of kids that were willing to do what was needed to be a successful DI wrestler.
Having the Paulsons coaching other national and state teams appears to be paying dividends. They are starting to get some of those kids and have good relationships with several of the up-and-coming kids.
The big thing is it doesn't appear KJ has lost the team. Very little attrition lately and several have stepped up in support of him. There are reasons why brothers are coming to ISU (Moreno, Weatherman and Swalla). The parents are supported of the staff which tells me a lot.
Pretty sure Ryak Finch was in the program for three full years 10/11, 11/12, and 12/13.
My main complaint is the lack of development. His overall class rankings aren’t horrible, but they are worse when you take a deeper dive and look how they panned out. If you were to review five years later, I don’t think any of these classes would be ranked as high. 2010 would be the best, but I am not sure Moreno and Gadsen would do enough to carry the class to a 6th class ranking. 2012 would be UR for sure. I would certainly not rank 2014 in top 20 thus far.
2010 – 6[SUP]th[/SUP]
6) Iowa State
Top Recruits: (125) #16 Ryak Finch-Safford, AZ, (157) #29 Joey Cozart-Brandon, FL, (174) #60 Michael Moreno-Urbandale, IA, (184) #65 Kyven Gadson-Waterloo, IA, (141) #98 Luke Goettl-Cottonwood, AZ, (165) #123 Mike England-Centreville, IA
Like rival Iowa, the Cyclones were hit hard by graduation in 2010 losing six starters. This group of six top 150 recruits may be pressed into duty sooner rather than later. Ryak Finch, the top 119lber in the nation, comes to Ames after winning Junior Freestyle and Greco-Roman titles last summer in Fargo. Three in-state prospects (Mike England, Michael Moreno, and Kyven Gadson) bring much needed help to the upper weights. Last but not least, is Four-Time Florida State Champ Joey Cozart, who spent his high school years wrestling for the legendary Brandon program.
Past D1CW Recruiting Rankings: 2009 NR, 2008 #8
2011 – UR
2012 – 11[SUP]th[/SUP]
11) Iowa State
Top Recruit: (149) #2 2011 Destin McCauley-Burnsville, MN
Recruiting Class: (133/141) #5 John Meeks-Des Moines, IA; (149) #47 Gabe Moreno-Urbandale, IA; (141) #112 Dakota Bauer-Iowa City, IA; (184) #135 Jesse Doyle-Trinity, NC; (133) #173 Kyle Larson-Des Moines, IA
After a couple of down seasons there are two huge reasons to be optimisic in Cycloneland. The first is the #2 overall recruit from last season Destin McCauley, who spent the last year training at the OTC. McCauley dominated the field this Spring en route to a FILA Junior National Freestyle Title pinning 2012 All-American Hunter Stieber and defeating 2012's top recruit Jason Tsirtsis. The second huge recruit for Iowa State is 4x undefeated Iowa HS Champion John Meeks. Gabe Moreno, like Meeks finished 6th last summer at Freestyle in Fargo. The rest of ISU's recruits have the potential to make this a special class if they develop.
Past D1CW Recruiting Rankings: 2011 NR, 2010 #6, 2009 #NR, 2008 #8
2013 – UR
2014 – 12[SUP]th[/SUP]
12) Iowa State
Top Recruit: (125) #31 Nathan Boston-Woodford, KY
Recruiting Class: (149) #48 Renaldo Rodriguez-Spencer-Cheektowaga, NY; (197) #56 Marcus Harrington-Waterloo, IA; (157) #143 Logan Brietenbach-Severn, MD; (141) UR Ryan Schuman-Colton, SD; (133) UR Dante Rodriguez-Kearney, NE
Like their Big 12 rivals above them, Iowa State will also bring in a pair of Senior National Champions in Renaldo Rodriguez-Spencer and Marcus Harrington. Rodriguez-Spencer did not compete in his high school postseason but went to NHSCA's and defeated 3x California State Champ Nikko Villarreal in the finals. Harrington looks to be an adequate replacement for 2x All-American Kyven Gadson, after taking a redshirt year. Late Signee and 3x South Dakota State Champ Ryan Schuman opened some eyes earlier this year when he knocked off Junior National Champion and Iowa recruit Seth Gross.
Past D1CW Recruiting Rankings: 2013 NR, 2012 #11, 2011 NR, 2010 #6, 2009 NR, 2008 #8
2015 – 23[SUP]rd[/SUP]
23) Iowa State
Top Recruit: (133) #31 Markus Simmons--Broken Arrow, OK
Recruiting Class: (165/174) #80 Colston DiBlasi--Kansas City, MO; (157) NR Chase Straw--Independence, IA; (174) NR Luke Entzel--Missoula, MT
Past D1CW Recruiting Rankings: 2014 #12, 2013 NR, 2012 #11, 2011 NR, 2010 #6, 2009 NR, 2008 #8
There have been a number of misses throughout KJ's tenure for a variety of reasons. I don't put all of this on KJ's shoulders, but at the end of the day it is on the coaching staff. As has been mentioned, every coach at every school has misses (Iowa - Ballweg, Baldosaro, Skonieczny, Berge, and Marlin. You just hope they are minimized.
Guys I classify as complete misses: Anthony Valles, Eric Thompson, Destin McCauley, Ryak Finch, Joey Cozart, Luke Goettl, John Meeks, Dakota Bauer. I hope Harrington doesn’t fall into this category.
Unique situation / Injuries: Andrew Long (no explanation needed), Spangler (injuries), Jesse Doyle (injuries)
At the same time you need to give him credit where it is due. I believe KJ can coach top level talent. IMO the 2010 senior class (Varner, Z, Gallick, Mueller, Thorpe, and Reader-not same class but same talent level) all improved under KJ. Part of that is being a year older and I also think it was advantageous to be coached under another coach, a former top level athlete in his own right.
Apart from that group of guys, here is my list who have thrived or over performed under KJ: Andrew Sorenson, Michael Moreno, Kyven Gadson, Matt Gibson, Lelund Weatherspoon, and Pat Downey. I had higher expectations for Earl Hall, but he has low AA'd twice so I wouldn't argue including him here. I still don't think he has come close to his ceiling.
It is too early to say on a number of the guys currently on the team, but looking at the 2014 class I would say all have been underwhelming to me.