If you gave us Rutgers' schedule this year, how do you think we would have done?
North Carolina Central (what division is this?) W
@ North Carolina Tossup
Ohio U (Frank Solich) W
@ Syracuse W
Pittsburgh W
Navy W
@ Louisville Tossup
West Virginia Tossup
USF W
@ Army W
Cincinnati Tossup
@ UConn (automatic W here as we beat them)
So, I give us 8 wins plus 4 tossups. Divide those 50/50 - I think we could beat Cincinnati and Louisville but might lose @ UNC and against WV at home. You give us Rutgers' schedule, and we finish 10-2 (6-1) and are in a BCS game this year.
And just so you know, EVERY ONE of these teams is ranked below us in Sagarin. We'd be favored in EVERY SINGLE ONE of these games by that system. 12-0.