I wanted to see if this were true so I tried looking it up. Only found one article so maybe you can find another one, but it states that Iowa was 70-49-3 ATS from 2001 - 2010
EDIT: Ah, hawkfan beat me. Serves me right for not scrolling down.
Line moving in Iowa's direction
- Thread starter Judoka
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I wanted to see if this were true so I tried looking it up. Only found one article so maybe you can find another one, but it states that Iowa was 70-49-3 ATS from 2001 - 2010
EDIT: Ah, hawkfan beat me. Serves me right for not scrolling down.
Good stuff. I thought Iowa had a pretty good record against the spread but didn't want to go digging around for it at work. Maybe his friend doesn't understand how spreads work, like a lot of people in this thread?
In 2010 Iowa was 5-5-1 against the spread, and 4-1-1 against the spread at home. In 2011 they were 5-7 against the spread, 4-3 against the spread at home.
Of course so far this year we're a big 0-1.
Does anyone else think that maybe they had money piling up steadily and just decided to move the line at once? Or do they always move them little by little?
I'm guessing it could be lots of things. There are probably more Iowa fans out there, or at least there are more Iowa fans that are betting, so more money was coming in on Iowa. Also, Iowa has been the more successful program over the years, so many bettors are just going to put money on them because of tradition. Finally, of course, Iowa has home field advantage, and Kinnick has a history of being a tough place to play. So the money came in on Iowa.
The Sports books needed to balance things out a bit, and get more money in on ISU, so they moved the line trying to attract those bets. If it works, I would not be surprised to see the line move back a little again.
The Sports books needed to balance things out a bit, and get more money in on ISU, so they moved the line trying to attract those bets. If it works, I would not be surprised to see the line move back a little again.
Curious. Without having to do a bunch of research......how have Iowa and ISU done versus the line over the last 20 or 25 years, for this game only? Anyone know that?
Here are a few nuggets I found...
The Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
The Cyclones are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Big Ten.
The Hawkeyes are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
The Under is 7-1 in Cyclones last 8 vs. Big Ten.
The Under is 8-2 in Hawkeyes last 10 vs. Big 12.
Just for fun, of course.
I used to bet it all the time. I think I won 7 or 8 times in a row betting on ISU when McCarney was the coach. Now, I don't know if I'd ever bet it.
There have been a lot of nonconference games, especially road games, where the Hawkeyes have looked pretty bad, and then become a different team. Rumors of Kirk's demise are always greatly exaggerated. I think a lot of this is just that the money doesn't put as much creedence in a single game than the average fan. It worries me the money is going the other direction.
Take it from me your everyday Hawkeye fan betting $20 online is not moving the line from 3.5 to 5.0. That is major movement in the betting world especially when there is no resistance at 4.0. I'm guessing that the bookmakers are heavy about $350,000 on Iowa in order for us to see that type of line movement.
